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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. Agreed. Double digits twice (10” both times) by feb 1st is solid. By the look of the EPS/GFS, we could surpass climo by Valentine’s Day
  2. BTW, pretty sure MJO goes phase 8 at this same time.
  3. 16” at the mount. Heard of a 21” report along the PA MD border near Hagerstown
  4. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?new&prod=XXXPNSPHI&wfo=phi Updated totals @DCTeacherman 30+ already in NNJ into the typical snow belt west of NY. My god.
  5. Curious to see how the upper level energy feature pans out overnight.
  6. Check the pic above your post. Sent from suffern in Rockland county. They have 2 feet
  7. Just wanted to show you guys my buddy’s parking lot in Suffern, NY
  8. Incoming baltimore, Baltimore county and Howard county. Nice little burst it appears coming through in the next 30
  9. Couldn’t agree more. Latitude played a big role for us along the northern tier. Gotta give a few models credit for sticking with their guns regarding these bands making their way into the northern portion of the area.
  10. In central MD, for sure. That’s why they dropped the Warning for a 1” advisory (except for the northern tier) That’s MD climo during a Miller b - especially one that doesn’t phase early. A difference of 30 miles means 10” versus 3-4”. Hell, less than 30 miles meant 20” for my son, with half of that here. No worries my friend. Miller A’s are down the pipeline - and the i-95 / I-29 corridor will get its jackpot storm.
  11. For the second threat mid-next week, for sure . The first potential threat next weekend isn’t so cut and dry. It’ll be in the low to mid 40 Thursday through Saturday. Huge cold shot comes overnight Sunday. Forecasted overnight low is 5 degrees in Baltimore city with a high of 19 on Monday. Let’s gets some classic Gulf of Mexico overrunning thrown up here next week and were in business. That snow where .5 of QPF gets you 10”. Mmmm, yes please.
  12. Trend has been in our favor the last 24-48 as far as overall setup in concerned. Let’s see how things evolve once tonight’s biggie is out of the way. 500mb setup indicates we have a pretty decent shot at cyclogenesis off the Atlantic coast late next weekend
  13. Prob not. Next week and beyond has a much better setup to deal with. Miller A’s baby!
  14. It’s going to get downright filthy next weekend into early next week. Snow followed by teens for highs, single digits to 0 for lows.
  15. No worries Mappy ! still have the ULL to get through tonight as well per NAM / Hrrr. Think we’ll catch the southern end of that.
  16. One thing is for sure.... this storm has absolutely beautiful banding structure inside a wall of snow. Beautiful.
  17. Look out the window about 7:15-7:40. Should have some nice banding overhead in Baltimore proper at that time.
  18. Look at that moisture field right over emmitsburg to Gettysburg. Crazy. Someone will hit 20+ up there by the time it’s over.
  19. This is what I’m getting at. For now, the low is spinning bands from our ENE into our area- but as the storm moves East, the precip to our SW will follow suit and come back through the area.
  20. It’ll be a spotty climb from here on out for us though. Maybe an inch or two if we get lucky.
  21. Radar looks meh right now for Carroll over to your area. However, everything to the west/southwest of us will eventually pivot back our way. Think we see one last hoorah around 9-10 before we send her off to finish her annihilation of the nyc - Boston corridor.
  22. Looks like a moisture feed off the bay may clip areas east of 29 with some good banding in the areas in mentioned above.
  23. Rooting for you all in the Baltimore city/county and HoCo area to get in on some of the love.
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