jayyy

Some sweet pics from earlier tonight

Definitely a warmer layer models missed around New York. Buddy of mine who lives in Rockland county just north of New York was reporting 24 degrees and sleet for a while. Back to snow now. 18 & heavy snow in the elevations of Orange County!

Sounds like a niña

Snowing heavy up this way It just doesn’t feel the same as when I’m home though and I get to enjoy it with yall on here.

Best part about going to see my folks for Christmas is not having to make an extra trip to chase snow. 5-10” expected up here through tomorrow My daughter’s at home and said it’s on and off again sleeting / raining in union bridge.

“I’ll take the under on it being 70 degrees on Christmas” - me to Ji a week ago Forecasted high of 46 on Christmas and a chance of wintry mix the day after with a high of 37 So much for a torch. Models look to be converging on the idea of possible winter revival by 1/5.. but we’ll see how that all looks a few days from now. One thing is for sure - models are struggling past D10. Just have to be patient and see how things unfold this winter. Posting “weeklies” and 384hr OP runs every 6 hours is pointless. Save yourself the headache.

That’s not just a cold shot though. That’s a 500mb map with a clear trend toward a stronger, more west based ridge (+PNA) and a trough forming in the east. Block is establishing etc. That being said… still very far out so it’ll change 50x. Grain of salt yada yada

Agreed. A hostile PAC can be temporarily overcome by a great block anchoring in a high pressure to our north and pushing a low to our south. Won’t be the type of pattern where snow has staying power but a well timed wave could still absolutely produce and possibly produce big if just right. Cards on the table for the 12/31-1/3 timeframe but we’ll see

A couple of weeks of normal to slightly above normal temps and the winter is over speculation has already started. Mid season form, folks. Mid season form. Relax, y’all.

Why? Because one run of the GFS 240+ hours out said so?

4.25” officially - temps plunging - sitting at 25 Off to work

?

Woo! Made it inside the…. circle!

Incoming Columbia, Ellicott city, Catonsville and NW Baltimore. The band that was overheard here for a while is knocking on your doorstep. 12:15 I’d say

Welp, it’s beautiful outside. SN+

Radar looks good. Snowing ahead of schedule. Feeling good about this one

That band to your NW should make it to you around 11 or a bit after

Where are you located

Approved

Hell yeah brother. All it took was some heavier returns. Precip is blossoming nicely nearby. My area up to PSUland has 4-6” written all over it. My brother in Ellicott city said he’s got a 70/30 snow/rain mix currently

Flip to snow has happened 33.8F

I’m either home, at work, visiting my parents or one of my brothers 98% of the time [emoji1787] Close knit familia

34 and drizzle at home. Dews are solid so it’ll flip quickly

Everyone’s panicking about a ten day reload period. Gotta love winter around these parts lol

Was just about to say this. By far the most bullish map I’ve seen by a met so far