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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. Back to good snows 9z Monday. What is going on with the GFS? Coastal love?
  2. Gotta know the GFS very likely isn’t the ultimate outcome, but perhaps something in between the GFS and euro is still possible.
  3. Lotta precip to our SW and cold thru 48. Only thing we should be taking away from RGEM. Fools errand using that model after 48 for sure
  4. Very, very curious to see the GFS and Ukie’s next run.
  5. Yeah it is. Noticeably colder than the 12k
  6. Back down to 44 but briefly hit 50
  7. We’re overdue for a 60 hour NAMing
  8. Initial hunch is it’ll be a bit colder but drier. Let’s see
  9. It’s the correct forecast at this juncture honestly
  10. That’s the best part about being unreliable.
  11. Pretty reasonable NWS map honestly. Sure, maybe totals along 95 are a bit risky given the uncertainty around track, but most areas look pretty much in line with the consensus of guidance - including dc and Baltimore.
  12. Appreciate you cutting that 10-14 contour over my house lol Solid map I’d say. In line with what I’m thinking generally too
  13. Broken clock is right twice a day! Who am I kidding… euro / cmc vs gfs [emoji22] I’m setting my bar at 8-10 up this way and will hope for the best
  14. 00z Thursday is late Wednesday night’s runs though
  15. We won’t. And if people around here are mad about 6-10”+ before a flip to sleet that sticks around for 2 weeks, idk what to tell them.
  16. 00z tonight is going to be interesting around these parts
  17. Sure do! Inside niño’esque type patterns. Which we haven’t seen much of in the past decade
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