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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. jayyy
    Most models showing a general 1-3” with some showing lollipop 4-5” amounts in localized qpf maxes. Let’s see how things look tomorrow and lock it in.
  2. jayyy
    Welp… snow is streaming over from Tennessee, which is usually our winning path. Just not the usual way we get there.
  3. jayyy
    AKA the snap the BWI/DCA streak probability map
  4. jayyy
    Can we extRAPPolate this for us or what?
  5. jayyy
    Emotions and the ridiculous theory that it can’t snow here anymore lol
  6. jayyy
    It would be pretty epic to see models 48 hour us back into a legit coastal but honestly, I’d take this current solution of a prolonged light to occasionally moderate snow event. It’s going to look and feel wintry out there and the metros should hopefully finally break their streaks. Let’s get everyone on the board at this point.
  7. jayyy
    3-3.5” to get me to 6-6.5” for the season heading into prime climo and a solid looking longwave pattern? Why not. Sign me up.
  8. jayyy
    Ninja’d by PSU. Was just gonna say… when the overall pattern gets back to classic miller a noreasters and coastal bombs / huggers, Winchester will once again destroy IAD in snowfall. Been a very weird last 7 years.
  9. jayyy
    2-3” would def be a win
  10. jayyy
    Ahh gotcha. Knew there was crossover. Thought I read somewhere NAM ensemble was the Sref but I must have misread it.
  11. jayyy
    Id take 3-4” of fluff and solid cold to follow all day long. It’ll be a very wintry 24 hours out there.
  12. jayyy
    A better run? Really? Didn’t it drop 7” on Baltimore at 18z
  13. jayyy
    For sure. Gotta think there’s another NAMing inbound since it’s the Nams ensemble. Most models are actually in pretty solid agreement about the local max area that expands from eastern hoco’ish to points NE hugging the bay. BWI may end up actually being a pretty decent spot for this one.
  14. jayyy
    Hard to jackpot when it doesn’t snow anywhere lmao
  15. jayyy
    Weather gods punish permadebs
  16. jayyy
    Pretty sure a CWA wide WWA would look like porn at this point.
  17. jayyy
    Too early for that talk
  18. jayyy
    No no! You keep the same thread when things look decent. We would be reverse jinxing it back to shit with another thread lmao
  19. jayyy
    OP is preferred within 72 hours for sure but ensembles aren’t quite out of range either. If OP and ensembles match , that’s usually a good clue the OP is onto something
  20. jayyy
    It’s like the inverse Jim Cramer effect… but for weather. DT or JB cancel = game on
  21. jayyy
    I’ll have some of whatever the NAM is smokin’ I called it last night. NAMing would bring back interest lol can’t help but laugh at the irony at this point that being said… most models showing 2-4” type deal. I’ll take that as an appetizer to the 20th
  22. jayyy
    Look! Another 1007mb low. Models love that number
  23. jayyy
    Consensus seems to be forming around seeing periods of light to possibly moderate snow between mon - wed (with Sunday morning squalls) 1-3/2-4 type deal. Certainly not the ceiling we had a few days ago, but I’d honestly take it. Some snow on the ground that won’t melt due to legit cold being around leading into a more favorable window? Why not. Gotta kick this off somehow
  24. jayyy
    It’s cool, we’ll keep this unpinned discreet thread and no one will track it and then BOOM… with 48 hours left we see models trend toward a nice 2-4” forum wide cold smoke event Edit - nvm, Ji is already here
  25. jayyy
    Please take it to the panic room .
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