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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. jayyy
    I’m sure someone with more knowledge can easily explain how both parts can end up screwing us
  2. jayyy
    Don’t worry guys - all we need is the coastal to pop way further south than progged, bomb out, and for all models to be wrong. What could possibly go wrong? For Baltimore metro and points NNE, I haven’t quite lost all hope on the coastal yet. Won’t take much to get solid banding into NE sections of the CWA. But man... it’s looking bleak for DC, most of Maryland, and VA for anything too substantial from part 2. unreal.
  3. jayyy
    Snowing... decently I suppose.
  4. jayyy
    And just like that, NWS upped the totals for my folks in NY to 14-18+ - I just told them I hate them so much in the most loving way possible. I KNEW this had New York and New England special written all over it. Been saying it all week long. I should have trusted my gut and I got bit for it.
  5. jayyy
    You know the drill. 6z will show 12-18 area wide just to show 3-6 at 12z.
  6. jayyy
    This storm has 12+ written all over it for my hometown in NY. Seen this song and dance sooooo many times.
  7. jayyy
    When’s our next model drop
  8. jayyy
    Just told my parents who are located near the Mario cuomo bridge in NY to get ready for a big dog.
  9. jayyy
    NAM has been super consistent. Can’t discount it, as much as we’d like to. WAA looks dope though.
  10. jayyy
    @clskinsfan and @psuhoffman , you guys ready for that 15:1 ratio snowfall tomorrow AM? Have a good feeling about the ratios to start.
  11. jayyy
    Woooo - temps still dropping nicely. union bridge weather station - 2.5 miles south of me: 21.4 Temp 16.7 DP Winds from the NE Pressure: 30.01 Elevation: 473 ft
  12. jayyy
    My buddy in Lexington KY said that there was barely any virga before the sky began puking. Radar looks fantastic for WAA tomorrow
  13. jayyy
    Exactly. Listen to bob everyone. Stop leaning on models, especially the euro, for meso placement. We won’t know until it’s happening. That’s just factual. All you’re doing is chasing digital snow otherwise. We are seeing exactly what we want to be seeing at this juncture. The SLP transfer location is splendid. All models show 6+ area wide and we are less than 12 hours from first flakes. LETS GET THIS
  14. jayyy
    It develops just too late. Like... a mere 50 miles. Most of the good stuff is thrown to our north because of it. We are SO. SO close to having the euro jump on the RGEM train (albeit less QPF)
  15. jayyy
    Can’t be a bad sign....
  16. jayyy
    LWX seems to think 3-5am start for most of MD DC and NoVA
  17. jayyy
    Snow is going to come in like a wall from SW to NE tomorrow morning. Don’t think it takes more than 10 mins in any location for snow to begin sticking. The radar in far E KY and E TN looks great. Should see that wall hit DC by 8am
  18. jayyy
    SLP appears to be moving almost due East. A HINGE of a NE component to the movement. Surface looks great so far.
  19. jayyy
    1.5”+ of QPF for Baltimore more points NE. WOW
  20. jayyy
    27 union bridge 31 Ellicott city
  21. jayyy
    Looking at dews, there’s plenty of room for the column and surface temps to cool when precip finally makes it’s way into the area. gahhhh - so excited.
  22. jayyy
    9 am Sunday? Damn!
  23. jayyy
    31 degrees
  24. jayyy
    Gonna be tough given the primary location to get a transfer that far south.
  25. jayyy
    Little do you know, that’s actually sleet from a warm air bubble intrusion at 900
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