jayyy

Man.... looking at pressure falls and h5/h7.... this is gonna be close.

SLP located on the SC coast per SPC

I’ll share some!

Yeah, the people under those greens. The precip has been training west to east along the MD PA border all day. 5”+ obs are likely quite common between Manchester and Frederick along that latitude right now

Anytime buddy.

I’d honestly call this SN+. It’s borderline as hell. temp dropped another 0.3 degrees in the last hour. Winds out of the NE

He says this just as the radar is beginning to blossom over the bay and head right toward Baltimore too

Great banding coming up the bay right now.

Snow, mainly after 10pm. Low around 21. Wind chill values between 10 and 15. Northeast wind 5 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Monday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Wind chill values between 10 and 15. Blustery, with a northeast wind 15 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible. Monday Night Periods of snow. Low around 26. Wind chill values between 10 and 15. Blustery, with a north wind 21 to 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. The PZF for my parents house. Grossly jealous.

It certainly saved part 1 for us

Keep talking dirty.... man, Euro gives you me and PSU another 6+. That’d put us near a foot. I’d be more than thrilled.

Right? Watch them drop the warning for Baltimore and they get smacked by the CCB

We officially have a secondary area of LP per SPC MESO

From initialization. Doesn’t account for previous snow before the model runs.

18z HRDPS - close.

Right??

Low gets captured. Solid CBB into the eastern and northern half of the area. Come on baby

I’m in your neck of the woods too! What’s happened!!

Go on....

The Movement of the precip coming north from East of DC into eastern Howard county has me intrigued. We’ll see how this all plays out.

We’ll see what 0z has to say.... if it inches closer again, I’ll keep watching intently. But as PSU said above, the mid and upper level lows aren’t phasing in time, which starves our area of a good moisture fetch when the SLP appears to be in a prime location for us. it’s a shame. Cold air in place.... nor’easter forming at a near perfect spot.... the upper air dynamics just didn’t work out. Miller b’s are always so damn complicated for our area.

Columbia east of 29, up to ellicott city, Catonsville, and into Baltimore.... rates should pickup again soon. Radar finally blossoming E of DC

On the OBS front.. 25.5 degrees snow - pretty solid rates 5” and counting These bands in N VA / W md coming this direction the past 2 hours have kind of saved this part of the storm up here

This is the SOLE thing I’ve been watching all day long. Pressure falls off the coast, 500mb, etc. Things are SO close to lining up for a more tucked solution. I think Baltimore and central / northern MD are still very much in the ball game. Next 6-12 hours will be critical. Better chance than not that things end up happening too late, but damn it’ll be close.

Primary low is down to 1008. DIE, MoFo, DIE!