jayyy
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Everything posted by jayyy
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Picking up my son from the mount tonight so he can get his second Covid shot. Should be a real fun drive
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31/24 GR+ (grauple)
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Dry air just broke through in HoCo according to my brother. Snow finally falling in ellicott city.
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I think few models showed this initial slug of precip making its way here before the main slug, but I could be wrong.
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100%. Same here with my area versus eldersburg and places in Southern Carroll closer to 70. Puking up here as it mixes just 15-20 miles to my south. That extra elevation and slight latitude gain does us wonders. Good luck my friend.
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few fully grasp our climo until they live here themselves. It’s a different world out here. 6-8 lollies appearing to my west and east. Me likey.
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SN+. Temp down to 32.5.
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Not according to LWX’s website. Latest has the 4-6 line south of Baltimore.
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Surface temperature issues up this way? lol. That’s cute.
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Can definitely attest to this. Grew up in Rockland county 27 miles due north of nyc. We’d be 15+ degrees colder with a foot of snow as it rained in NYC. The UHI in nyc, especially in battery park, queens and the Atlantic facing coasts is no joke and puts DC/BAL’s UHI to shame. It’s insane.
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Yep. Central MD honestly will have zero clue what’s coming until it falls. Models aren’t even close on that area
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DCA really is so much warmer than it’s surroundings.
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That heavy precip near Cincinnati is heading directly our way
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Don’t think so. Suns going to go down shortly, which should help with whatever “warm up” occurs between precip slugs
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Folks in NW and NE dc should be changing over to snow as we speak. The snow machine will shut off pretty quickly as we await the main batch of precip to arrive this evening, but it’ll be nice to see some moderate snow falling
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That’s what I was saying last night. No matter what happens, the fact that we are tracking 4 distinct winter weather events over a 6 day span in a niña winter is awesome.
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Final frames of the Hi-Def iOS radar shows locations around dc changing to snow from rain as heavier returns move in. This app has been spot on all season long depicting the rain/snow/mix line
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Not bad. Leading precip actually has a little bit of a punch to it too
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Pretty wild to see how different the parent is from the 3k/12k.
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That’s reflected in their AFD and the warnings / advisories. They upped totals up north, including Baltimore out to you due to the north trend in short term guidance over the past 18 or so hours. A bit shocked to see a warning here. Not sure that pans out but we’ll see.
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Oh, snap. Didn’t even realize LWX put a warning up for my county. temp: 36 cloudy
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I actually think you’re in an even better position being in west EC as far as thermals are concerned. I do like the northern and eastern half of HoCo for this, but as you said.... things can go very wrong, very quickly with a tiny shift in any direction. Going to be a tight rope to walk.
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Exactly. Think your area is a giant crap shoot over the next few days, but with big upside. I’m sure you’ve noticed that a majority of guidance has that second sweet spot in QPF that slices through the middle of HoCo and points east toward the bay. The GFS, which has been insanely persistent about that precip VA precip hole, has also been very consistent about this QPF jack as well. Think it may be onto something. We shall find out by tomorrow.
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Wow. I can’t say I’m totally shocked, but damn I was legitimately rooting for you guys in the big cities. Can’t catch a damn break. Think folks north of 32ish will be fine column wise. I actually like @WxUSAF area for this one. Should be a good spot for QPF but remain cold enough for 90+% snow. Baltimore will be a close call but is definitely in a better spot for wave 1 than dc.
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HRDPS, euro and a few other models show that secondary QPF jack from Baltimore metro on east with QPF. Interesting.
