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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. HRRR trends are definitely encouraging for @WxUSAF @Scraff @MDweatherman and co
  2. Hours 12-17 on the 3Z HRRR were fuuuuego
  3. Thanks man! Can’t wait to see your deck pic
  4. Can somebody who pays far more attention to detail than I do let me know how temps look currently versus what models were predicting?
  5. New LWX warnings: northern tier: 5-7” with up to 0.1” of ice DC to Baltimore: 3-5 with up to a 0.25” of ice meanwhile my folks in SE NY are under an advisory for 5-9 those bastards always get in on the goods too.
  6. Could you post a link potentially? Thanks
  7. I might be a little drunk, but I feel as though it’s going to be real hard for this storm to rot this type of cold outta here so quickly. Temps will drop a bit more too initially once the heavy wall makes its way to us. Bring it on!!!
  8. Gotta appreciate the Catonsville and mount airy mini jacks lol
  9. Can you post it kind sir
  10. 4” is my mark, 6 or above is gravy. These storms turn over earlier than progged, so here’s to hoping that precip comes in like a bat out of hell.
  11. We say that every time. However, when the track of the storm and overall setup on the NAM is nearly identical to other models but shows father north mid level warm air intrusion, it’s typically right. Sadly. Hope it’s dead wrong here.
  12. 24.8/13.3 Pressure- 30.14 humidity: 61% wind: 0mph. Slight breeze out of the NE
  13. Anybody else notice 18z initializations versus ground reality are not really all that close? Rain snow line and precip shield don’t line up whatsoever with current obs. (Correct me if I’m wrong please)
  14. PZF updated to 6-10”! LFG! Hope snow comes in like a wall and everybody cashes in on a solid 3-6” before we even mention the word “mix”
  15. Radar looking pretty solid so far down south. Just south of Little Rock (pine bluff area) is seeing 2” per hour snowfall as I write this
  16. I think there’s a solid chance your area busts on the positive side like last storm. Boom chance on the front end is quite high just west of 95 where the initial thump will have plenty of cold air to work with and QPF is greatest. Hope it all works out ! HRRR and other short terms were the first to sniff out the potential last go around within 24 hours of onset
  17. 31.8 / 12.4 NNE wind 1 mph Pressure - 30.12 Humidity: 45%
  18. And this is why snowfall maps from individual model runs are literally pointless.
  19. Ok. I respect your opinion. I’ll leave it at that. I don’t get personal over weather, sorry.
  20. I don’t disagree. I guess, to me, that 3-6 and ice isn’t exactly terrible either for a storm that was supposed to cut west of us less than 90 hours ago
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