jayyy

We don’t want or need an overbearing block. Semi “weak” to moderate as well as decaying blocks have produced many of our biggest snowstorms in years past. It’s what couples with that block that’s important. A favorable PAC / - EPO / -NAO and the presence of a southern jet is a huge signal for our neck of the woods. Subject to change of course, but this is truly the best setup we’ve seen on models roughly 10 days out in several years.

Keep talking dirty hahaha Trends look good, no doubt. If we still see this look around the 28-29th, it’s game on.

Snowing pretty decently down at work in Columbia. A welcome sight indeed

… show us the maps padawan (I’m on my phone)

The ICON the only model that shifted? Not gonna hold my breath if that’s the case.

Damn, can we just get a LITTLE snow to calm some nerves in here!? Haha. Besides PSU, CAPE, Heisy, and a handful of others providing some unbiased analysis and having some great discussions, it’s kind of a shitshow in here right now. Stormy’s always off his rocker but good lord haha. Everybody chill. It’s December 14th for starters. We knew our ceiling would be low this winter. Patience is going to be required this winter - we ALL knew this going in. Let’s not act surprised about what PSU is saying. He’s not wrong. We may not LIKE what he has to say - as we all want a ton of snow (him included I’m sure) - but what’s the point of pretending like we’re in some epic +PDO Modoki niño and ignoring the facts? The man isn’t saying it won’t snow. We *could* get lucky and strike gold sure, but the historical data (plus our new base state) strongly argues that getting a good snowfall this winter will be like pulling teeth. We’re not out of the game. Keep your expectations in check and you won’t be disappointed.

Also, everyone stop uttering the words B__ D__ in here. What the phuck is wrong with yall [emoji23]

You’ve been known to do the same from time to time. You also cancelled winter like 5 days ago lol Love ya Ji .

Also, pretty sure the lowlands technically saw some snow in late November. Didn’t accumulate but it was snowing in places like Columbia and points N. It’s clearly possible. Difficult? 150%. A big storm? Even less likely. But not impossible.

Didn’t it show cold leading into Christmas like… last night?

Sure is, but it’s also 16 days before winter begins haha

It’s not even winter lol .

Didn’t we get two snowstorms last year, both of which trended in our direction in the last 48 hours? The ole create a new thread storm .

Truth. Same with buffalo versus its immediate southtowns. It’s rare that steering winds are perfectly SW to NE, which is what buffalo and Watertown need for a prolonged event. Now.. when it does happen, it’s epic due to the crazy long fetch over Ontario and Erie. Don’t count Watertown out though. Winds will steer today and tonight and they’ll likely still see upwards of 3 feet by Sunday night. .

Don’t we all plow with joy

Taken just outside Erie PA today while visiting a college buddy of mine. 3-4” per hour at the peak. I forgot how insane LES is from my college days in buffalo. Magical. Snowpack is certainly going to be building to our north over the next 1-2 weeks

Possibility of highs in the mid 30s around day 10. Nice to see some cold weather at least in December. Now let’s get some precipitation in the area!

Snowglobe status in some of the heavier stuff!

It’s 100 degrees and we’re talking winter and snow. My kinda people!

Burlington VT on “spring break” to get one more dose of winter weather and spend some QT with the wife & kids Going to be a fun next 24 hours. 26 degrees and smells like an impending snowstorm

Shiiiiiiiit, id take 2-4” (TWSS)

Snowing here in UB as well. Go figure [emoji1787]

“Next year is going to suck! I won’t be here tracking” Yes you will. So will I. We all secretly love the torture. Breaking news: snow hunting in the mid Atlantic becomes newest category of BDSM.

I’ll take the 3” and be happy. Disappointed? A bit but it is what it is. On to Friday (hopefully)

My cousins up in central NJ ended up with 12” despite a 1-3” forecast. Fuckers.