jayyy

Snow falling at work in Columbia, albeit super light

You peep the long range thread? Obviously taken with a minuscule grain of salt but that was one of the most weenie gfs runs we’ve had in a long time

Incase anybody needs to hear this… DO NOT set this as your bar lol

Oy lol

Obviously the chance of a complete short term model bust is like 0.1%, but curious if anybody who’s better at reading maps sees anything of note when comparing what models show to current 500mb/h5 obs. Particularly in regards to the ULL

To be fair, it almost always spits out heavy accumulations. We just happened to get them that time [emoji23]

19 degreed, heavy sun, roads brined.. go time [emoji23]

People not posting clown maps 150+ hours out would go a long way.

If you listen closely enough you can hear all of the nyc weenies cliff diving

Jesus Christ. It’s going to be in Florida by Thursday

It’s going to be souther. Reverse voodoo. NAM goes south and the others come north

That’s true. We used to see positive busts back then. Happened ALL the time when I lived in New York. Problem is models have gotten way better over the past 14 years, so the likelihood is a lot lower. That being said… it’s not impossible.

Less confluence though. Looked pretty good at the surface when it stopped running

Alright guys… long range NAM time [emoji849]

Yessir. Tough suite tonight overall but glad to see the euro improve under the hood vs 18z. It’s in its wheelhouse right now and as PSU pointed out, it schooled most other guidance wrt today’s storm at this range. Doesn’t mean this can’t still fail, but at least the bleeding stopped. By tomorrow night the storm will be over the CONUS, so hopefully things become clearer (and snowier) by tomorrow’s 00z runs