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SnowGoose69

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Everything posted by SnowGoose69

  1. SnowGoose69
    Correct. Especially in the wedge. This rule is not as useful in the SRN plains/TN Valley/Oh Valley as much but often times in the GA/SC/NC wedge sleet ends up more dominant than you expec
  2. SnowGoose69
    Be careful with the EUROAI post 120, from about there inside its been good. Beyond that less so. I still like an idea as of now slightly north of the Op Euro idea.
  3. SnowGoose69
    The UKMET having rain in NE GA in that setup is funny
  4. SnowGoose69
    Its still too far out but right now something between the UKMET and CMC would be my guess. I'd rather be here than Boston or Albany right now, thats for sure. I think the CMC may overall be a bit north of what eventually happens
  5. SnowGoose69
    The 18Z Euro over SE AR and N MS its like 1 inch of freezing rain in 6 hours
  6. SnowGoose69
    As SE Alabama clears on satellite you can see it melts fairly fast
  7. SnowGoose69
    Its quite strange seeing those areas get snow in La Nina winters...its almost always limited to just El Nino years. ATL for example saw no measurable snow in 95-96
  8. SnowGoose69
    RhodyRick was my favorite poster on Eastern, he would just troll saying every storm would be rain
  9. SnowGoose69
    All models now basically showing lite versions of 12/2003 and 1/2011. We need to hope round 1 does as well as it did in both those storms. Hint...it won't
  10. SnowGoose69
    Don’t underrate the impact this accumulation may have on tomorrow. At least in areas that got snow today. It could definitely keep things 1-2 degrees cooler overnight which can be a factor tomorrow in a setup like this
  11. SnowGoose69
    Given they probably will measure at 1pm a half inch or slightly over.
  12. SnowGoose69
    Its accumulating on the grass now in Central Park
  13. SnowGoose69
    Still looks concerning that W Canada may get wiped out again by the EPO shift though I think its just a brief one but despite the end of ensembles showing a +PNA look again its pretty mild since Canada gets torched the last few days of the month by that transitional period. Could be 2/5 or 2/7 before we see things be cold enough and I am just not sure how much longer thereafter we can hold this pattern. Its logically going to go Nina February at some stage. I felt by 2/10 but maybe its later.
  14. SnowGoose69
    Yeah, no high to the north as I said. I don't really love this setup but I do think that the air mass might be just cold enough that we get accumulation. I'd just go lower than snow maps though. I don't think anyone is seeing 5 or 6 inches.
  15. SnowGoose69
    GFS is likely too amped with the storm idea. I am more worried about suppression problems overall than being too far north
  16. SnowGoose69
    By far the Euro idea for today is working out the best right now. Most of the mesos were just way too far west with this snow. The RGEM was fairly good too.
  17. SnowGoose69
    Not nearly the same setup but reminded me of this one below. 2/8/97. I was watching Mark Messier blow the Islanders up in an afternoon game. Was like 32-34 all day. NYC got around 3 inches in the end but it was basically a clipped coastal type setup. Nowhere near the same type of storm as this though. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1997/us0209.php
  18. SnowGoose69
    Yeah makes no sense at all for the west to be torching like this in this type of winter. But as we have said in here we've seen the east torch in El Nino setups recently in oddball configurations. Dec 2015 was one, that was likely more due to the MJO being record strength in phase 5 or 6 though.
  19. SnowGoose69
    It looks like what happens on the ensembles today is you briefly get a +EPO but it immediately tries to return back to a +PNA pattern again, you'd torch Canada so would take a week or so for it to get colder again
  20. SnowGoose69
    No, FNMOC site was being hacked/etc so they made it access only internally I think
  21. SnowGoose69
    I am surprised since the Darnold nagging oblique or whatever thing came out that the line on that game has not moved.
  22. SnowGoose69
    I think the areas where a big NW move may happen are way down south in like GA/SC. And I am not even sure I'd call it a NW move, its more the H5 has argued the QPF is being underdone on the NW edge down there which is why at times the RRFS and some other models have shown snow back to like ATL/GSP. I don't really see big changes likely up the coast.
  23. SnowGoose69
    No high in SE Canada is still a big issue here as I said a few days ago.
  24. SnowGoose69
    The Euro ideas down in SC/GA aloft have never budged much the last 48 hours...it was always a bit too dry down there as were many other models. I have been on the train of be wary in GA/SC even back as far as ATL/GSP to see this thing make a late push back NW. Eric Webb has been pumping that idea on X too.
  25. SnowGoose69
    The EuroAI QPF extensiveness just looks suspect to me
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