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SnowGoose69

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by SnowGoose69

  1. For areas near you to get involved this has to amp up and get going earlier but that is certainly possible given the setup that this could trend that way.
  2. LOL. Florida would shatter record lows in some spots if that 120 hour ICON verified
  3. You can see how just N of Central Park in NE NJ there's totals of 13-14, definitely a sharp increase where it stayed snow
  4. Depends on if we go to FZRAPL. They went from 7.2 to 8.8 from 1pm to 345pm so probably could get to 10.5-11 if we stay mainly sleet
  5. NYC record was only one not from 1/25/2000 I think
  6. This will be a test for the RRFS to see if its idea of the line pushing back SE is right.
  7. Its unlikely I think they'd add more than 1-2 more inches anyway, though they probably did get an inch from 1-2pm
  8. Yeah the good news is it seems the RRFS is close to as good as the NAM and better than the HRRR on this. The HRRR actually picked up on it this event, probably because it was such strong warm advection
  9. Yeah based on measurement of 7.2 and EWR 8.0 I think we know those are off unless ratios came down so far the last 3 hours they averaged out 9 or 10:1 in the end
  10. I have heard EWR was 7.7 as of 1pm, not official, it may be near that
  11. The liquid equivalent at NYC of .73 seems high relative to LGA/EWR/JFK unless they just have been under heavy banding.
  12. Yes. I think even LGA/JFK have some freezing rain like 01-04z maybe as things really lighten up
  13. The Central Park cam at 72nd street you can see the plow go by and within 10 minutes its covered up
  14. JFK now at 5, EWR 7, NYC had .17 liquid this hour! I think JFK may be undermeasuring a bit, they do often times in windy events.
  15. PHL over to SNPL. EWR on their SPECI just now has had .09 liquid this hour already so maybe 2-3 inches again
  16. EWR 2/5 now .09 last hour...JFK reported .06 but no snow remark total for the hour. NYC had .13 liquid
  17. Looking outside I swear 2 inches has fallen in past 30 minutes
  18. The ratios will begin to fall to like 8 or 9:1 by 18Z probably but you'd think there will be amounts now of 10-12 in some spots before it changes
  19. LGA and NYC had .12 and .10 liquid past hour. LGA now reporting 3 on the ground 2 last hour
  20. I think there will be many 7s-8s-9s but getting over that unless rates go to 2-3 inches an hour after 15Z will be hard
  21. I think they may get saved a bit by sleet but I’m not highly optimistic
  22. Does now look like NE side of ATL metro will get hit hard. Didn’t think they’d do it a few hours ago but even think down to the airport now makes 31-32 by 4-5am but those areas may benefit from the dryslot more once they are under the threshold
  23. Looks like across Maryland and south snow began when cloud decks reached around 7,000 ft. Across PA it’s been 4,000ft. Up here it may take til they get down to 2500-3000ft. I’d say it could begin as early as 10Z but meaningful accumulations won’t be til 12-13Z. In these setups too the immediate NYC area as well as western LI always pulls down more dry air from the Connecticut river valley and can take longer to saturate than NW NJ and central and eastern LI
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