SnowGoose69

As SE Alabama clears on satellite you can see it melts fairly fast

Its quite strange seeing those areas get snow in La Nina winters...its almost always limited to just El Nino years. ATL for example saw no measurable snow in 95-96

RhodyRick was my favorite poster on Eastern, he would just troll saying every storm would be rain

All models now basically showing lite versions of 12/2003 and 1/2011. We need to hope round 1 does as well as it did in both those storms. Hint...it won't

Don’t underrate the impact this accumulation may have on tomorrow. At least in areas that got snow today. It could definitely keep things 1-2 degrees cooler overnight which can be a factor tomorrow in a setup like this

Given they probably will measure at 1pm a half inch or slightly over.

Its accumulating on the grass now in Central Park

Still looks concerning that W Canada may get wiped out again by the EPO shift though I think its just a brief one but despite the end of ensembles showing a +PNA look again its pretty mild since Canada gets torched the last few days of the month by that transitional period. Could be 2/5 or 2/7 before we see things be cold enough and I am just not sure how much longer thereafter we can hold this pattern. Its logically going to go Nina February at some stage. I felt by 2/10 but maybe its later.

Yeah, no high to the north as I said. I don't really love this setup but I do think that the air mass might be just cold enough that we get accumulation. I'd just go lower than snow maps though. I don't think anyone is seeing 5 or 6 inches.

GFS is likely too amped with the storm idea. I am more worried about suppression problems overall than being too far north

By far the Euro idea for today is working out the best right now. Most of the mesos were just way too far west with this snow. The RGEM was fairly good too.

Not nearly the same setup but reminded me of this one below. 2/8/97. I was watching Mark Messier blow the Islanders up in an afternoon game. Was like 32-34 all day. NYC got around 3 inches in the end but it was basically a clipped coastal type setup. Nowhere near the same type of storm as this though. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1997/us0209.php

Yeah makes no sense at all for the west to be torching like this in this type of winter. But as we have said in here we've seen the east torch in El Nino setups recently in oddball configurations. Dec 2015 was one, that was likely more due to the MJO being record strength in phase 5 or 6 though.

It looks like what happens on the ensembles today is you briefly get a +EPO but it immediately tries to return back to a +PNA pattern again, you'd torch Canada so would take a week or so for it to get colder again

No, FNMOC site was being hacked/etc so they made it access only internally I think