weatherpruf
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Everything posted by weatherpruf
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i'm seeing warm temps in my forecasts.....but i've seen that change on a dime too over the years....
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i think we had our big storm this year; and it was a doozy. as for being due.....where you around from 1984-93? ok, jan 87 featured a good one in north jersey and one in south jersey. and that was it. we can go a long time between big snows. we just went 5 years, though 2024 had a big one locally here in nj, i believe it was an inverted trough, help me out here folks.....
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now i don't claim to have a great handle on this stuff, but i saw people here saying the recent big snow to sleet storm was a benchmark storm...so what defines a benchmark storm? because i have seen big ones that were not exactly miller a bowling balls.....this last big one and jan 2005 come to mind.
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the pieces are in place, now they need to come together. and therein lies the rub.....if you ever get kocin's book, the best chapter is on near misses, imo....
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it also came on the heels of 94; people had gotten used to big snows the year before, and many were talking about the storm coming and were ready for it. and that was basically it for the whole winter.
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the effects are noticeable in all agencies and have been written about extensively in respected publications, at least the ones not owned by murdoch or bezos.....a professional has listed his reasons and you have answered with an anecdote from a poster here.
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its tragic
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tomer?
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the whole winter was mild especially compared to the year before which was epic; this was the only major storm in 95, included in kocin's book; i remember it was a saturday so impacts were less; it would be the last storm i would use a shovel on; december 95 i bought a snow blower and guess what, we had a major snow two days later....ya'll know what the rest of that winter was like; the blower was good for up to 12 inches......i thought that would be plenty.....wrong...
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it needed to be said, and it's something many of us suspected.
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Presidents' day Snow potential
weatherpruf replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
so this will be gone by noon anyway -
Presidents' day Snow potential
weatherpruf replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
lack of moisture has been a problem all year. i see nothing to break that trend. piddly events that dry out or stay south ain't gonna do. -
when you consider how many decembers featured warm temps over the years, it seems like a long winter to me....i got the cracked skin and icebergs in front of my house to prove it...and never before did i see road crews clearing snow weeks after an event...one event....
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it snowed over a weekend iirc.....my son was supposed to have surgery that almost got canceled. that melted and then it snowed again on sunday i think....both around 5-6 inches...
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so its a false alarm then....
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i can almost assure you if he were 13 he would not be here...you know what he'd be looking at.
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south jersey seems better off, but north is hurting.
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now i know it won't happen....
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what the heck....a few days ago people were in here talking about how winter is over, or snow is done, its too dry, and i even read a piece in nj.com that we are near drought conditions....well we shall see...
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believe we had a couple march events back to back in 2019? melted right away, also feb 2018 iirc...
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because i have a gas station on the corner and can get fresh gas easy.....and i hate to leave gas laying around in cans for weeks on end. also have an electric toro that rips through snow easily; it did so in the last storm. so i'm good, though the tire on my big machine needs replacing. i don't know how the bitter cold affects gas sitting outside in cans, but it probably isn't good.
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2014?
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i suppose emptying the gas for the blowers might have been a mistake. we'll see.
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my weather opinions are never worth very much tbh....but i think we are done. it's getting warmer, it's been dry, and i just emptied my gas tanks for the snow blowers into the cars....that said i was around for april 82...ran into a former colleague who was my kids principal and my homeroom teacher in high school...she said well you probably weren't born yet in april 82... i was 19....i've seen a few april snows, one in the 70s when i was a kid and a couple in the 2000s, , but they were wet snow events; 82 was a true cold weather blizzard of a foot or more. i see you're in perth amboy; i was a regular of the sea pigeon and the late captain marty haines, who was a friend; we lost him in 2022, he was still running boats for ny water taxi....died on the boat. there was a burial at sea of his ashes with all the local ny harbor ferries saluting him.
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those arborvitae live a long time and ours were planted in the 50s before any deer were around.
