weatherpruf

Just popped over to SD and he had the same numbers but through wed morning

Yup took a nice walk in the park just to get into the mood this morning. Was refreshing. Regular hikers were fine haven’t needed the ice boots yet.

Yes we do close for sleet if it’s steady and falling at opening time this is the suburbs and kids don’t walk much.

WHat happened? Went to bed and WNYC was expecting 2-4 in the city. A couple overnight bad runs again?

If sleet is called for and it is coming down my schools will close, unless it starts well after around 5 am. If the sleet is progged to quickly changeover, then no. We have closed many times for 2-3 of sleet.

This is like a broken record. I just need a snow day at this point, even if it's a bust.

It has to be cranking by 5 am or a forecast with such certainty there is no averting it. That kind of certainty is reserved for big storms. And then they have to make a decision for early out by 10 am. That's how we got screwed on Nv 15; uncertain forecast, snow started too late. Chaos at dismissal.

Generally Edison, Metuchen, Woodbridge and S plainfield and Rahway and Carteret go together. Old Bridge and Sayreville sometimes have it a little different. Elizabeth never used to cancel, these days they do.

I would still expect some cancelations.

March 2017

I wouldn't chance it. But that's me.

Looking like the kind of sleet events we get in years where snow is scarce, I'm thinking 2007. This is still inclement weather folks.

Confluence, WAA, no blocking, if it ain't one thing it's another.

Seems to be at odds with the Mt Holly discussion RU posted at least near I95 corridor; unless they are expecting an intense 2-4 before a changeover, which they state will happen shortly after dawn....either we sleet all day, which at least one red tagger here doubts, or we go to rain. The only certainty I come away with is that it will rain at some point. This looks like every storm of the early 90's. And there's talk of flooding. ugh.

It should make it up to your area though, it usually goes further than expected.

Danbury is a lot snowier than down here in general, no?

Uh oh. If he isn't bullish then I have to temper my recent enthusiasm.Unless he is expecting a lot of sleet.

Depends on the start time; if it starts after 6, we're going to school. If it isn't raging by 9 am, we're staying all day. Also depends on what you mean by inland; I wouldn't consider Most of Middlesex or parts of Union Co as really too far inland, but they will close if it is snowing heavy in the morning and sleet is expected later.

It's done by a secret cabal. Each super sits around to see who blinks first. Once one of em folds, the others in the immediate area usually follow. This is what one of em told me, at least in these kinds of events. Obviously when serious snow is called for there's no question.It's getting late in the winter, there haven't been any days in a lot of the area ( S Jersey and N Jersey have had some ) so my guess is they will close unless heavy rain is predicted early OR it starts after school opens. Also, if it doesn't start until 6 am, that is usually too late. They make the decision before that.

A lot of sleet works for me. Could still be a nice day off. Joys of working in a school. Seriously though, those buses aren't great in sleet.

Any maps from Mt Holly? I'm just this side of it....

Man I hope so.

Yes I have seen it too. The forecasts are also for people to be ready, they don't mean with certainty that this will be the exact outcome. Remember, most people will be happy if the snow and ice don't verify. Plus people commute from pretty much everywhere to the city, to Newark, to Trenton, New Brunswick, Princeto etc. Someone is likely to be impacted more than others. At least they can point to the weather when they are 2 hours late. I once worked with a psychologist who had lived outside Trenton but worked in NYC. There would be days where she would be delayed by snow and people thought she was making it up.

I don't dismiss posters like SnowGoose. And in fact the major forecasters on 1010 and WNYC are talking similar numbers, either 1-3 or 2-4 coastal and 3-6 inland plus possible ZR there. May not be the world's biggest event, but likely to be more significant than a nothingburger, and will probably be a shock to the system for folks who have gotten complacent.

Front end dumps are not that uncommon, but they usually don't deliver beyond 3 inches and the rain almost always washes it all away in a few hours. I've seen more than a few like that; I usually break out the snowblower before it changes to rain mainly to keep the thing in running order; no one else on the block even bothers to clean in these setups. But even those are in good winters; in ones like this, and I've seen plenty, we may get a few flakes for an hour or two and then it's all rain. Not saying that will happen with this one, but I don't see the pros worrying too much about snow right now.