weatherpruf

With holes in your shoes....

Hope not. Real dud in my area. 3-4 of sludge.

It's March. Put on a pair of waterproof hikers and go to work. It will be gone by the time you get home.

Look at last March, I had 4 inches and some of them had 20...

Maybe watchung areas

Can't complain really, look where we were three weeks ago.....

Didn't realize that, reacted too quick.

For me that's real close, and if that close It usually causes me problems.

Yes, others have weighed in on this; I was concentrating on the "east of 95" part. When those southern areas rain we don't always; the downside is when they are doing well we can be shut out.

You seem to have higher confidence for this one JM. Hope you're batting average is still good. Now, where will the subsidence hit this time? Would like it not to be us for a change.

I don't think you are wrong, and some local mets think 3-6 with the 6 coming up your way. I think 4-5 inches seems reasonable.

I consider SI to be east of I95 in my area, as I am in the crossroads of 95, GSP, 287, so that sometimes means us. we may however, transition to snow faster than areas to the south. Sometimes.

The only way to read that is there is a substantial possibility areas like ours "might" underperform. " It is possible much of the precipitation could fall as rain." First I'm seeing this kind of talk.We would be way to close for comfort for that; south of the GSP bridge would be hurt even more. Can't seem to get a storm that isn't a gamble. Now what do they mean by south and east of 195? I95 cuts through NJ up to NYC, do they mean Monmouth and Ocean, or do they include up to exit 12 or so? Anyone can feel free to weigh in.....

Fawt Leee??

I prefer to say "immediate metro" which doesn't include NEPA, Sussex or even Monmouth and Ocean, in my view ( the sociological boundary is much more expansive, even including "metro" areas of its own, like the Edison statistical area, itself a sub-city ) it's just a flat out big area population wise, so the weather is gonna be a little different in some parts. When its cloudy or rains who cares ( well I know you do ) but snow amounts are a different thing. Last year I had just shy of 4 inches when areas to my west had double digits. 20 minute drive.

Well Ant, you hung in there ( though even you were waving the white flag ) and looks like we may get a decent storm here; consensus at NWS seems to be in the 4-8 range except for the coasts, but they seem to mean Ocean and parts of Monmouth Co ( some in that one area of Monmouth County think they will do better; miss PB's analysis, looks like he's on another board now ) and darn it if I don't want another one! Of course, this one hasn't actually happened yet....peace.

Jan 2011 and 14

Thanks for the breakdown.

Don't we want them in more aggreement?

Is it worth much? Never seen anyone say it was better than the others. Also, if there is no consensus, then a bust for some areas remains on the table, no?

What would make it drier....is there a dry air issue with this one?

Also this is Mt Holly so they are forecasting for different area than NYC, even though we are right next to it on our eastern end.

There's some wobbling with themodels from what I'm reading, so mixing may be an issue ( isn't it always? )

West of S S I?

If we get this then probably one more would put us near average