weatherpruf

That would be a storm for the ages. That was forky's quote just before Jan 2016. I will wait for his pronouncement....FWIW I don't believe this will be the solution. If it is, people will be freaking out, and justifiably so ( I'm talking about the normal snow fearing public here ). In fact, they may be already. Anyone been to the market yet?

Always thought the second film was the best, and they just waited til the third to give Jackson the award....back to the storm.....

Aren't we sort of thinking the Euro is suspect and unreliable? I'm kinda discounting it; isn't it alone at this point? Serious question, not being a troll. Just got up.

I'm just west of SI and these kinds of setups do make a big difference; it's unlikely we see nothing at all, but will probably end up with a smaller event of 3-6 or 4-8,but in a year like this we'll have to be happy with it. A few miles south of me in Monmouth will also make a big difference. I'm too far north and west for these storms, too far south and east for the interior storms. Way it is here.

Ya know, there's actually a weenie stand on the corner of my street a few houses down.

As a former writing instructor, and journalist, I think it is more that it's just not part of their training. Science majors have credit intensive programs and there's little time for classes in communications and such; the most they are likely to get is a required expo writing class, and maybe a social science class.

I feel your pain....been burned lots of times in these setups. Best we can say now is it looks like it will snow in our backyards. How much is an open question.

That may very well be the case.

Sagan was a local boy, went to high school 5 mins from my location.....but he never talked about it much....Rahway HS ( yes the same one Milton Friedman went to ).

That's exactly what I thought he meant.

This is very true, but it's also got to do with funding. But many people, myself included, don't have a good understanding of the science ( so I basically just trust the experts ) and I think, as the spouse of a scientist and the father of two in training, that the scientific community does bear some responsibility here, because they tend to lack patience with those who have trouble keeping up. Also science by its nature is ever evolving; so what might be time honored practice today could change tomorrow. People have trouble with that.

What do you mean by big totals? I'm not unhappy with 10-12 and don't need the hassle of 20+....but 2-4 would be a bit of a letdown...I'm just west of SI, Middlesex County, not really a big snow area, especially with these east storms, that triangle of inner Raritan Bay its just a tad west for that kind of storm, but close enough to see something....again, this is days away and nothing would surprise me, even a complete whiff here...

Depends.....on the company you might have....could turn into a memorable long weekend. Just sayin.

I'm still thinking 4-8 in Middlesex/Union counties based on the look of this and history. Still a decent snow in a year like this, but nothing to get all excited about. Still could see nothing at all. I don't expect a massive move west at this point to put us in the best snows. But a 4-8 would still be nice.

I'm thinking some of that is snark....48 inches? This isn't the Rockies.....

That was a big one in CNJ...it was 17 inches and that was more than anyone had ever seen in my local HS....wouldn't happen again until Feb 83.

Jan 4 2018? That was about 6-8 inches here; the bands wouldn't cross west of the Hudson. 2016 was more of an I95 crusher, both east and west of it...IIRC

That would look like a number of storms we've had over the years with my area getting 4-8 while the eastern areas get a full blown storm. I think this is what is more likely than a crush job here, though over your way a little east you might do better than that, IF it doesn't slip further east altogether, which is also on the table. At least there is something to talk about, and even the radio news is expecting some sort of snow this weekend at this point.

For those of us not so well versed, what does this mean...thanks in advance...

I keep seeing the term east, so as I'm west I've got low expectations.

I've personally had it with storms that trend east and leave my area fringed while Ocean Monmouth and LI get the goods. Been this way a few years now. If this even comes to fruition. Seen it too many times and its frustrating. But then I'm only rarely in the bullseye. But, I also don't want to deal with over two feet of snow. 8-12 is good. We are days away and it hasn't been our year but we'll see. The comparisons being made are all to storms that left north central NJ on the light end. So I'm not expecting a huge hit even if this thing actually happens, which no one will know until the weekend in any case. Cheers and keep us posted.

Not for all of us, and I did say there are some exceptions. March 2018 was quite the anomaly; even so, only one storm produced anything of significance in my area.

Still the greatest bust of the modern era and solidified my belief that for the most part, March storms rarely work out for the area, with a few exceptions. But this isn't March, just a lousy pattern.

Generally those storms to the east fringe my area, but sometimes if big enough can still deliver 4-8, which is a win in this kind of winter. This set up from what I am seeing with my limited understanding does not generally favor the upper central area of NJ.

Definitely not out of the woods...sounds like they think we probably are gonna dodge this, but hey ya never know.....