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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
  2. Allsnow
    Yup. Definitely not “meh”
  3. Allsnow
    Monmouth County going to get crushed
  4. Allsnow
    Line looks to be getting better organized as it heads east
  5. Allsnow
    Yup. Crazy how none of these threats dump rain in our area
  6. Allsnow
    Radar definitely doesn’t look great
  7. Allsnow
    Areas affected...parts of the Mid Atlantic Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 021945Z - 022045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...An intensifying cluster of thunderstorms over northeast MD and eastern PA may pose a risk for isolated damaging gusts this afternoon. A WW is uncertain though convective trends will continue to be monitored. DISCUSSION...As of 1940 UTC, regional radar imagery showed scattered thunderstorms ongoing over parts of the Mid Atlantic. Over the last hour, a cluster near the MD/PA border has slowly intensified with a notable increase in lightning and reflectively. Likely supported by subtle ascent from a passing shortwave and remnant convective outflows, 1500-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE will likely continue to support strong updraft development/maintenance. Vertical shear is quite limited with flow generally less than 25 kt. Storm intensity will likely remain tied to forward propagation along advancing outflow with this cluster. The moderate buoyancy and large water loading will likely support a isolated stronger downdrafts with low-end potential for 50-60 mph gusts. Storms should track east/northeast through the afternoon across parts of eastern PA into NJ. Storm organization appears quite limited.
  8. Allsnow
    Yes!!!
  9. Allsnow
    Models showing lots of rain chances this coming week weekend and next week. We can only hope it’s correct
  10. Allsnow
    To many clouds for a legit 100 today
  11. Allsnow
    Wow!!! We can only hope. Thanks
  12. Allsnow
    @bluewave how does the HREF look today?
  13. Allsnow
    .16 today. It’s a start
  14. Allsnow
    It’s the only way we get rain now when it’s not in the forecast.
  15. Allsnow
    Beautiful rain!!!
  16. Allsnow
    Yeah, would have thought the +2 at nyc would be higher considering the heat we have had here in central jersey
  17. Allsnow
    Ha. That was ACY revenge winter after missing out on the epic 20-21 run
  18. Allsnow
    Yup storms blowing up in south jersey
  19. Allsnow
    Congrats
  20. Allsnow
    Glad I didn’t get invested with today’s false rain threat. I’m sure Cape May will find a way to get more rain today…
  21. Allsnow
    Agreed. We have had lots of cloudy days since the start of last week.
  22. Allsnow
    Models are very active inside 5 days then is just disappears as we get closer. Hopefully, that doesn’t happen with Friday into the weekend
  23. Allsnow
    We shall see what happens. Seldom do these cold/snowy or busy hurricanes season forecast ever work out
  24. Allsnow
    0.00 overnight are they still expecting a busy tropical hurricane season? It feels like it’s been very slow
  25. Allsnow
    Best chance of rain looks to be Friday Night Now. The wet pattern has been a complete failure here
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