Jump to content

Allsnow

Members
  • Posts

    26,403
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Won’t make it tonight either Clear for tonight, and with winds probably decoupling inland with light to calm winds, good radiational cooling conditions. Mixed low levels should however limit radiational cooling for the NYC/NJ metro where the growing season continues, so not expecting much frost. Have decided to convert the Freeze Watch in southern Nassau County to a Warning with just enough coverage of freezing temperatures as cold air advection would be sufficient in spite of a mixed boundary layer.
  2. Yup. The ULL gets trapped underneath the block which will probably get the lake effect machine going the week of thanksgiving. But I don’t see many precipitation chances that week here with everything getting shredded by the ULL. Perhaps something when that moves out later towards months end
  3. Crazy. The eps overnight didn’t have a rain chance for the northeast until 11/22
  4. It’s amazing how many gulf systems failed to produce rain up here this year
  5. If that ULL gets stuck underneath the block it will Probably produce a early season lake event
  6. Fail once again. Stopped at 34 last night
  7. Agreed. That would bring the 2-3 day cold shot afterwards
  8. The op runs today kind of support my thinking for next week into the weekend
  9. Extension of the HRES and WAVE forecasts to 15 days (00/12 UTC runs) and 6 days (06/18 UTC runs)
  10. Might be a struggle to get below 32 here now.
  11. Thinking we get a good cold shot the weekend before thanksgiving. It won’t have lots of staying power but should be chilly for a few days. These short window cold shots are common in a Nina Enso
  12. Our cool downs go from way above normal to just a bit above normal now. Can’t sustain anything below for long stretches
  13. Forecast is 31 here tomorrow night. Going to be close with this fake cold
  14. Radar looks real spotty take the under on .25
  15. Yeah, that h5 look is pathetic out west. Every time we get blocking we end up with a deep trough out west to team up with it lately.
  16. Ensembles definitely hinting at some type of storm between 20-22nd
  17. We need the west to improve before that will work. Don’t fall for that click bait
×
×
  • Create New...