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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Does NYC even hit 90 this week now?
  2. Euro has high’s below normal for the weekend now?
  3. KPHL saying the excessive heat watch won’t be needed on Wednesday get. No changes made to the excessive heat watch at this point as we still have time to evaluate model trends. Agree with the previous shift that impacts on Wednesday seem to be trending to falling short of warning levels (especially given that overnight lows will still in the 60s, should have a little relief during the overnight hours), so may have an advisory that day, but will leave it for later shifts to further evaluate.
  4. You have been all over this the past few days. Good job
  5. Yup. 06z doesn’t have a heat wave this week at ewr
  6. Looks like the euro was to ridge happy
  7. Euro took highs down last night
  8. Take em down?
  9. Oh yeah. The lawns are toast by the end of the week unless your are watering religiously
  10. @winterwarlock muggies coming this week
  11. BOX is all in on the Heat this week All the model guidance continues to be very consistent and in excellent agreement on dangerous heat and humidity beginning Tuesday...peaking in the Wed through Fri time frame. The models indicate 500 mb height fields approaching 600 dm...which is rarely seen in our region and a strong signal for the potential of record heat. This is also supported by the NAEFS & EPS Situational Awareness tables...which indicates several parameters outside the models climatology. That is another strong signal for the potential of a rare/highly unusual weather event...in this case being heat and humidity. The ensemble guidance supports near record highs well into the 90s...perhaps touching 100 degrees in spots. If that were to occur...we would challenge all time record highs for the month of June in spots. The only possible relief would be if localized sea breeze are able to develop along portions of the very immediate coast. Either way...the main story will be several days of dangerous heat & humidity. Afternoon Heat Indices will reach into the 95 to 105+ degree range. There will not be much relief at night with heat indices only dropping into the 70s.
  12. Ewr will break the weekend rainfall streak
  13. Yup, our area got completely skipped haha
  14. Yup. Oh well. The severe season so far has been a huge disappointment. I thought the Nina would help with our severe threats but not the case so far
  15. This Mornings HRRR was terrible off base with this
  16. Yup. They probably need it more than us currently. Huge disappointment here today
  17. Yeah, weak sauce. Early showers/clouds hurt the event. we won’t get the needed rain from this
  18. Don’t like the activity in northeast Pa currently on radar. Might lower the ceiling for anything later today
  19. That doesn’t look very impressive
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