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Everything posted by Allsnow
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I hope the south jersey convection isn’t killing the afternoon potential for us
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Souther jersey near Cape May has been getting crushed this morning
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.41 overnight
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.20
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Light rain currently
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Areas affected...Southeast PA...NJ...far northern MD/DE Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 484... Valid 292238Z - 300015Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 484 continues. SUMMARY...Strong to localized severe wind gusts from 50-65 mph will remain possible, mainly focused across southeast Pennsylvania and adjacent states. How far downstream this extends east of the Delaware Valley is uncertain, with forecast expectation of weakening farther east into New Jersey. DISCUSSION...A surging accelerated portion of a short-line segment has bowed across a part of east-central to southeast Pennsylvania. Its current eastward track will result in movement into a more weakly unstable air mass. But given its organization, a damaging wind threat will probably spread east of WW 484 into NJ before diminishing. Meanwhile, supercell structure exists within the tail-end robust updraft in south-central PA. With a plume of low 90s surface temperatures emanating north over central MD, it is plausible the lagging portion of the convective line may undergo a similar acceleration and bowing surge. This could potentially impact parts of far northern MD/DE, adjacent to WWs 482/484.
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Would think we get some rain from that line
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Game on tomorrow? KPHL is all in
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Tornado warning central Pa
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This will be the way it plays out
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Will the sun come out today?
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We need rain
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Played out as I expected. Missed the best severe weather to my north and just some straight form rain later at night .
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Don’t like the looks of the radar sw of me. Latest HRRR and guidance showing another miss to my north
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Looks like the stuff in south central PA will affect us late tonight.
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Cell heading towards NYC looks strong
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Getting some rain here currently
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Great job by the short range models
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Kdix down?
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Must be a beast of a storm to my north.. the winds here currently are pretty strong
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Brutal miss to my north
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The stuff in WV is probably what effects areas further south tonight
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Yup. Line looks strong for that area
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The line out by Harrisburg looks good for north of 78
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We need the rain