Jump to content

Allsnow

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    25,271

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Lots of rain
  2. Allsnow
    Lighting is crazy with these storms
  3. Allsnow
    Yup. It’s early but history says this favors inland areas.
  4. Allsnow
    Wouldn’t be shocked if the heaviest rains end up inland
  5. Allsnow
    More storms forming by phl moving northeast
  6. Allsnow
    Over .75 here!
  7. Allsnow
    Lined warned now
  8. Allsnow
    Decent storm. Lots of rain
  9. Allsnow
  10. Allsnow
    Yup. Definitely not “meh”
  11. Allsnow
    Monmouth County going to get crushed
  12. Allsnow
    Line looks to be getting better organized as it heads east
  13. Allsnow
    Yup. Crazy how none of these threats dump rain in our area
  14. Allsnow
    Radar definitely doesn’t look great
  15. Allsnow
    Areas affected...parts of the Mid Atlantic Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 021945Z - 022045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...An intensifying cluster of thunderstorms over northeast MD and eastern PA may pose a risk for isolated damaging gusts this afternoon. A WW is uncertain though convective trends will continue to be monitored. DISCUSSION...As of 1940 UTC, regional radar imagery showed scattered thunderstorms ongoing over parts of the Mid Atlantic. Over the last hour, a cluster near the MD/PA border has slowly intensified with a notable increase in lightning and reflectively. Likely supported by subtle ascent from a passing shortwave and remnant convective outflows, 1500-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE will likely continue to support strong updraft development/maintenance. Vertical shear is quite limited with flow generally less than 25 kt. Storm intensity will likely remain tied to forward propagation along advancing outflow with this cluster. The moderate buoyancy and large water loading will likely support a isolated stronger downdrafts with low-end potential for 50-60 mph gusts. Storms should track east/northeast through the afternoon across parts of eastern PA into NJ. Storm organization appears quite limited.
  16. Allsnow
    Yes!!!
  17. Allsnow
    Models showing lots of rain chances this coming week weekend and next week. We can only hope it’s correct
  18. Allsnow
    To many clouds for a legit 100 today
  19. Allsnow
    Wow!!! We can only hope. Thanks
  20. Allsnow
    @bluewave how does the HREF look today?
  21. Allsnow
    .16 today. It’s a start
  22. Allsnow
    It’s the only way we get rain now when it’s not in the forecast.
  23. Allsnow
    Beautiful rain!!!
  24. Allsnow
    Yeah, would have thought the +2 at nyc would be higher considering the heat we have had here in central jersey
  25. Allsnow
    Ha. That was ACY revenge winter after missing out on the epic 20-21 run
×
×
  • Create New...