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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Ninas favor mjo phase 2-5 because of where the warm waters are. I don’t think we will get much help this year from the mjo. The one positive is how warm the waters are off the west coast. That’s not a typical strong Niña look.
  2. Yes, In the summer it never saw a heat wave it didn’t like. It has a warm bias in the summer.
  3. Yeah, 17-18 was a classic Niña winter. Cold December to early January, then the pattern flipped to warmth until a SSW brought blocking for March.
  4. Looks like we will attempt to get into phase 7 at the end of October
  5. .87. Nice soaking for the grass seed. This was not not the 2-3 that was expected earlier in the weekend
  6. Big cut back in rainfall the last few runs of the models. The radar look very unimpressive to our south
  7. I need this to stay weak to have a chance down here It will be nice to cool the western pac so the mjo isn’t married to P5-6
  8. Sorry. Thought I was in the other thread
  9. Models are going to nail the jersey shore and LI rain jackpot
  10. When NYC is breaking record lows you know it’s a legit airmass. This morning temp of 34 broke the old record and coldest temps since 1891 in May.
  11. The roundy plots have this going into p8 to start February then dying and convection starting in p2 (standing wave). As you posted p2 is a cold look for February. The rmm plots I think are picking up on the kelvin wave in p6. Which is why they are curling back earlier
  12. Still pretty cloudy here and not the best of days
  13. He is a great canidate for 5 ppd...I wish they would do it already
  14. We have a politics section so this keeps the "politics" out of the NYC forum
  15. In glad you see the benefit of it and I would love to read your input on things. Unfortunately we have votes from posters that have found others homes or have a total post count of 100 that are being counted....imo they shouldn't count
  16. Yes they are just knocking down the doors to get back
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