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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Only chance at snow would be front end slop or a weak wave between cutters. Unfortunately, beautiful days like today and tomorrow are probably over for a while. Looks more 40’s and rain going forward
  2. Allsnow
    It keeps killing the pna ridge from amplifying into western Canada. So it’s harder for the storms to turn up the coast. But overall the pacific has been a hot mess for two years now.
  3. Allsnow
    The energy for the weekend was weaker. We need the cutter to set the stage with a better airmass.
  4. Allsnow
    Definitely a possibility if it remains weak and Thursday’s cutter is strong.
  5. Allsnow
    Eps mean still hinting at something for Saturday night. Snow mean around 1-2 for the area.
  6. Allsnow
    The gfs has the light snowfall for Saturday night on today’s 12z run. It’s not as amped as the euro(which the euro is probably wrong on) but it has potential. As long as we get a strong cutter Thursday we should have a good airmass for it.
  7. Allsnow
    18z euro very Icey for northern NJ Thursday morning. Nice strip of snow for lower Hudson valley also
  8. Allsnow
    Areas in the Poconos are doing well also. The system is definitely more robust then forecasted.
  9. Allsnow
    Why wouldn’t I be in good banding for a marginal airmass system during early February lol
  10. Allsnow
    Higher elevation areas of northern Nj doing well with this event. Euro was showing this potential. Definitely a surprise for some.
  11. Allsnow
    Light snow 35
  12. Allsnow
    Not to be taking literally but insane gradient in snowfall the next two weeks
  13. Allsnow
    Would think you are seeing some wet flakes now with those returns on radar by you
  14. Allsnow
    Snowing which is odd because it’s going to be 97 degrees tomorrow
  15. Allsnow
    Absolutely. It’s a gradient pattern. I think last nights eps mean was 3-4 for me and 8-10 for sne. This is for the entire run.
  16. Allsnow
    Best area for snow will be northern Pa into the lower Hudson valley/sne before a change over. I don’t see much snow falling for areas around the city and northern nj.
  17. Allsnow
    Yeah, but now the system for next weekend is in a perfect spot with a weaker cutter. In this pattern you don’t want it perfect 160 hours out. Last nights euro with a stronger cutter the following system went south of us.
  18. Allsnow
    We probably want this system as jacked up as possible so the following wave next Saturday goes under us. At best this is some sleet/ice to rain for the area. Don’t buy into the ggem/Ukmet silliness.
  19. Allsnow
    I tend to agree. I think this is just one of those winters where it won’t snow. My hopes aren’t high for March either. The gfs is going to continue to give false hope with it’s medium range cold and snow bias.
  20. Allsnow
    I think so.....Eric fisher had a interesting tweet about years with a AO this positive the warmth continued into March. I don’t see much help from the mjo after the 15th. The roundy plots keep convection in the warm phases and it collapses there. We would need other help if we want a cold March. I just don’t see help from the Pv or any other area to think that currently. This is a mild/snowless winter from end to end
  21. Allsnow
    It will come down to the pac and epo location. The models are currently backing away from the -pna. So now temperatures are closer to normal with the -epo. The boundary will be close so good luck getting a idea on what’s going to happen this far out.
  22. Allsnow
    I did lol
  23. Allsnow
    February snowfall Knyc 1.2
  24. Allsnow
    On the bright side next winter can’t be any worse lol.
  25. Allsnow
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