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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. @NEG NAO can you use the proper thread for medium range threats.
  2. Yeah, the pig made a late home in Ak at the end of December. Usually, we get some earlier signs that the vortex might be a problem in that region. With the way December started it was kind of a quick reversal.
  3. GEFS at 12z with a cave towards the eps after next weekend. Lower hgts in ak with a zonal flow.
  4. Inside 7 days it has been too snowy at times. But specifically speaking for H5 set ups it has not been bad.
  5. I’m not sure about the Ao. The Pv being so strong I don’t think has a effect on it. (I could be wrong) We really needed strat hits with such a strong PV and never got them. The Ao is so positive because of strong storm by the pole I believe..... @bluewave might know more I know we had some higher hgts in Greenland to start December. It obviously wasn’t a true -nao but helped sne score a good storm. Since then, yes it’s been MIA. The vortex near Greenland certainly doesn’t help.
  6. This was the latest Roundy plot. Convection gets close to the 6/7 boarder then a new wave forms in p2 by March 1.
  7. Absolutely. It’s one of the main reasons this winter went down the toilet. The other being the Pv.
  8. This is a ridiculous post from a member that should be on a daily post limit. The fact that you can’t give examples to your ridiculous claims makes your posts irrelevant.
  9. Yes it did. The forcing made it into 8-1-2 but the convection firing by Australia muted the response. The roundy plots correctly predicted the 5-6 pass for this month at the end of January. It was laughed out by the usually suspects but again they were proven wrong The eps nailed the RNA pattern for February. It did have a hiccup at the end of January when it had a cold pattern in the 11-15 day. But outside of that it’s been okay. The GEFS have been too cold in the medium range.
  10. The GEFS are wrong. It doesn’t match any of the roundy plots.
  11. It’s has its flaws but has been good overall. It’s first to correct in the medium range. The lower hgts moving into Ak is no good for us and has been a theme this winter.
  12. Eps is ugly. Outside a cold shot next weekend This goose is cooked.
  13. Getting some impressive gust here. Event of the winter
  14. Roundy plots have the wave collapsing on the boarder of p6/7. Then by March 1st another wave forms in p2. Phase 2/3 are cold in March but if the Pv is still uber strong along with AO idk how the cold will get here.
  15. Tornado warning down by Kphl. I don’t think that area has been under a winter storm warning this winter yet lol
  16. Eps looked horrible over night. -pna and southeast ridge then by the end of the month it’s a zonal flow with lower hgts in Canada.
  17. High wind warnings issued for the costal counties of NJ.
  18. Will these winds mix down to the surface?
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