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Everything posted by Allsnow
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The eps mean mirrors the op. 2-4/3-5 type event with a stronger primary.- 1,119 replies
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January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
The mean trough might be too Far East for us. FWIW the euro was a close miss. -
January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
That cold shot next week has strat support with the pv taking a right hook. -
Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just miss a 990mb snowstorm next Thursday on the euro. It will most definitely change by 00z but we are finally seeing the change to a more optimistic snow pattern.- 1,119 replies
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Yeah, that’s some Barney colored type cold coming after this system. Would be nice to lay some snow down for that.
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
12z euro 996 over Chicago while 00z had a 1008 over central Indiana- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The main difference between the Gfs and euro is just how much it digs out in the Midwest. The Gfs has less digging and lowers hgts out east. The euro is also stronger with the energy out west- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
We can’t have it that amped out in the Midwest. One thing to look for is how Chicago makes out. If they remain all snow it’s better for us.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Euro is 2-4 along the coast and 4-8 north and west.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
992 into southeast Canada. Front end snows move in Saturday afternoon. Coast goes to rain rather quickly- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Going to be incorrect on my guess lol. Euro is further north at 12z with the primary. It’s over Chicago now compared to central Illinois at 00z- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
1044 high over the lakes....- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The euro has a 990 southeast of Maine for the middle of week system- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I don’t understand the point of this post.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It’s all about the forcing. It obviously something we won’t know until we get closer. I just checked the high strength for November 2018 it was 1035. This is supposed to be around 1040, so stronger currently. But 1035 is nothing to sneeze at. @snowman19 it’s one thing to be argumentative with facts it another to be argumentative just for the sake of it.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Why? Strong artic high with overrunning precipitation. We turned to rain in November 2018 also. The 10-1 maps are not grossly over done with the mid levels so cold beforehand. The kuchera maps are even snowier! Yes, lots of time left for this to go either way.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice thump on the cmc before the area goes to rain.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice 1044 high in southeast Canada on the cmc.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yep. I know what the pretty snow maps are showing but keep expectations low. This is probably a 2-4 type deal along the coast with more north and west. Lots of time left so hopefully it trends better.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah the high was stronger and further west. We need to root for a stronger storm in New England on Thursday.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
4-8 thump for the area on the Gfs. It’s nice to see but keep expectations in check. Models have been horrible this winter and having a low in upstate ny isn’t ideal. It’s really all about that high pressure for the nyc metro.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Low around Erie helps also. Lots of overrunning snows this run for the area. Only negative it the high splits so we a bit of a southeast wind along the coast- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
This is definitely going to be a colder run then 06z. The storm blowing up beforehand help keeps the artic high in place.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
12z gfs really blowing up the cutter for Thursday in New England. This should really help with confluence for Saturday.- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Pretty far north. The front end is still there but the eps makes it more of a Saturday night event.- 1,119 replies
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