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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    The eps went towards the GEFS with the -epo ridging. That’s a real cold look
  2. Allsnow
    I think a lot depends on the wave break from the mid week storm for northern New England. Most of the guidance is really blowing that up so it helps with the confluence. The main player imo is the high pressure. That’s a real strong high moving in at 1044. The mjo response in p6 is more of southeast ridge. The euro was amped at 12z which raised hgts in the East. We have seen this throughout the winter season with the euro. It will be amped then slowly back away from it. It is currently the most amped up global from the 12z suite.
  3. Allsnow
    Some Mid Atlantic crush jobs on the idv eps with that closed low look. It’s definitely going to get active along the east coast. Eps has a potential costal the middle of next week and the following weekend. I like the the axis of the trough around the 25th.
  4. Allsnow
    The eps mean mirrors the op. 2-4/3-5 type event with a stronger primary.
  5. Allsnow
    The mean trough might be too Far East for us. FWIW the euro was a close miss.
  6. Allsnow
    That cold shot next week has strat support with the pv taking a right hook.
  7. Allsnow
    Just miss a 990mb snowstorm next Thursday on the euro. It will most definitely change by 00z but we are finally seeing the change to a more optimistic snow pattern.
  8. Allsnow
    Yeah, that’s some Barney colored type cold coming after this system. Would be nice to lay some snow down for that.
  9. Allsnow
    12z euro 996 over Chicago while 00z had a 1008 over central Indiana
  10. Allsnow
    The main difference between the Gfs and euro is just how much it digs out in the Midwest. The Gfs has less digging and lowers hgts out east. The euro is also stronger with the energy out west
  11. Allsnow
    We can’t have it that amped out in the Midwest. One thing to look for is how Chicago makes out. If they remain all snow it’s better for us.
  12. Allsnow
    Euro is 2-4 along the coast and 4-8 north and west.
  13. Allsnow
    992 into southeast Canada. Front end snows move in Saturday afternoon. Coast goes to rain rather quickly
  14. Allsnow
    Going to be incorrect on my guess lol. Euro is further north at 12z with the primary. It’s over Chicago now compared to central Illinois at 00z
  15. Allsnow
    1044 high over the lakes....
  16. Allsnow
    The euro has a 990 southeast of Maine for the middle of week system
  17. Allsnow
    I don’t understand the point of this post.
  18. Allsnow
    It’s all about the forcing. It obviously something we won’t know until we get closer. I just checked the high strength for November 2018 it was 1035. This is supposed to be around 1040, so stronger currently. But 1035 is nothing to sneeze at. @snowman19 it’s one thing to be argumentative with facts it another to be argumentative just for the sake of it.
  19. Allsnow
    Why? Strong artic high with overrunning precipitation. We turned to rain in November 2018 also. The 10-1 maps are not grossly over done with the mid levels so cold beforehand. The kuchera maps are even snowier! Yes, lots of time left for this to go either way.
  20. Allsnow
    Nice thump on the cmc before the area goes to rain.
  21. Allsnow
    Nice 1044 high in southeast Canada on the cmc.
  22. Allsnow
    Yep. I know what the pretty snow maps are showing but keep expectations low. This is probably a 2-4 type deal along the coast with more north and west. Lots of time left so hopefully it trends better.
  23. Allsnow
    Yeah the high was stronger and further west. We need to root for a stronger storm in New England on Thursday.
  24. Allsnow
    4-8 thump for the area on the Gfs. It’s nice to see but keep expectations in check. Models have been horrible this winter and having a low in upstate ny isn’t ideal. It’s really all about that high pressure for the nyc metro.
  25. Allsnow
    Low around Erie helps also. Lots of overrunning snows this run for the area. Only negative it the high splits so we a bit of a southeast wind along the coast
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