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Allsnow

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  1. Allsnow
  2. Allsnow
    From what I can see the reason you are still getting the loop on the rmm plots is a kelvin wave in p6. You can see it on the roundy plots. This is still going to go around the horn. That pink line is the kelvin wave in warm phases. But the real mjo is in p8 by feb 10th
  3. Allsnow
    18z eps even more amped with less snow along the coast. Let’s hope this levels out soon.
  4. Allsnow
    Yep. More amped this run. Snowfall 2-4 along the coast a bit more inland. Pretty much what everyone expects
  5. Allsnow
    Yep, weeklies are great looking until mid/end of February. Then the Niña pattern returns with ridge in the East. That makes sense imo with the mjo going around the horn. And I wouldn’t mind a warm start to March this year.
  6. Allsnow
    Yes, our snow is coming from the WAA precipitation. My reference to Chicago is that fact if they have precipitation problems that means the best WAA will be to the metros north. You can see that on the euro idv with a more amped up low. The WAA ends up moving more southwest to northeast. Perhaps why the eps mean has a tight gradient by the coast 00z euro had the low in central Indiana with no Ptype issues for Chicago and better waa fo us.
  7. Allsnow
    Yep and then some! Enjoy
  8. Allsnow
    @jbenedet here are two articles about lag response for each mjo phase.
  9. Allsnow
    The eps went towards the GEFS with the -epo ridging. That’s a real cold look
  10. Allsnow
    I think a lot depends on the wave break from the mid week storm for northern New England. Most of the guidance is really blowing that up so it helps with the confluence. The main player imo is the high pressure. That’s a real strong high moving in at 1044. The mjo response in p6 is more of southeast ridge. The euro was amped at 12z which raised hgts in the East. We have seen this throughout the winter season with the euro. It will be amped then slowly back away from it. It is currently the most amped up global from the 12z suite.
  11. Allsnow
    Some Mid Atlantic crush jobs on the idv eps with that closed low look. It’s definitely going to get active along the east coast. Eps has a potential costal the middle of next week and the following weekend. I like the the axis of the trough around the 25th.
  12. Allsnow
    The eps mean mirrors the op. 2-4/3-5 type event with a stronger primary.
  13. Allsnow
    The mean trough might be too Far East for us. FWIW the euro was a close miss.
  14. Allsnow
    That cold shot next week has strat support with the pv taking a right hook.
  15. Allsnow
    Just miss a 990mb snowstorm next Thursday on the euro. It will most definitely change by 00z but we are finally seeing the change to a more optimistic snow pattern.
  16. Allsnow
    Yeah, that’s some Barney colored type cold coming after this system. Would be nice to lay some snow down for that.
  17. Allsnow
    12z euro 996 over Chicago while 00z had a 1008 over central Indiana
  18. Allsnow
    The main difference between the Gfs and euro is just how much it digs out in the Midwest. The Gfs has less digging and lowers hgts out east. The euro is also stronger with the energy out west
  19. Allsnow
    We can’t have it that amped out in the Midwest. One thing to look for is how Chicago makes out. If they remain all snow it’s better for us.
  20. Allsnow
    Euro is 2-4 along the coast and 4-8 north and west.
  21. Allsnow
    992 into southeast Canada. Front end snows move in Saturday afternoon. Coast goes to rain rather quickly
  22. Allsnow
    Going to be incorrect on my guess lol. Euro is further north at 12z with the primary. It’s over Chicago now compared to central Illinois at 00z
  23. Allsnow
    1044 high over the lakes....
  24. Allsnow
    The euro has a 990 southeast of Maine for the middle of week system
  25. Allsnow
    I don’t understand the point of this post.
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