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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Sleety look just south of the metro on the nam
  2. Allsnow
    Didn’t 89 have a Big Mid Atlantic storm??
  3. Allsnow
    Incredible stuff! Thanks Don. We might see that typical backend niño February
  4. Allsnow
    IMO the niño look can get it done this time of year. We don’t need -10 sitting over our heads that leads to cold dry next week.
  5. Allsnow
    Do you think will then get more of a classic Nino February? The stj is definitely going to become more active and with are at the coldest climo part of the year. We don’t need -25 over are heads to snow in late January
  6. Allsnow
    The entire h5 set up is changing after the 20th. It’s not going to be consistently cold for weeks on end. We will have times where it will warm up. Today will be the last warm day for a while.
  7. Allsnow
    You will have colder days next week
  8. Allsnow
    Incorrect. Next week will be below normal. What model shows several days next week above normal?
  9. Allsnow
    You can get cutters in any winter. 97-98 was a strong El Niño with a very fast pac jet. We literally never had a chance at snow. This winter is nothing like that one
  10. Allsnow
    Yes in the southwest part of the country.
  11. Allsnow
    The coldest stretch of weather I have experienced was probably December 2017. I believe we were below frz for two weeks. No, it wasn’t in 1852 when we skated on ponds and Manhattan was covered in snow all winter.
  12. Allsnow
    You will get your fill of cold dry next week.
  13. Allsnow
    18z gfs has the perfect costal track for the 25th. Unfortunately, the bl is torch with the lakes low. At least the cutters will be gone after Saturday
  14. Allsnow
    But that doesn’t change the fact that this is a bad h5 set up for snow in nyc. Can it change back to more of a look we had a few days ago? Sure! But I wouldn’t bet on it.
  15. Allsnow
    To be fair the real pattern change doesn’t start until after the 20th. We are currently reshuffling the pac to a better look. If it were to snow Saturday it would be a bonus before the pac improves. The wheels of change are already in motion as tomorrow will be the last warm day for a while.
  16. Allsnow
    The pattern will improve after the 20th but the -epo/poleward pna has been waffling on the guidance.
  17. Allsnow
    Yep. We are loosing the -epo look and are left with +pna and split flow look. The reshuffle around the 25th could hurt temps around here. next week looks cold and dry
  18. Allsnow
    Yeah, Philadelphia is at less then a inch. It would be fitting for that to happen next week. The storm coming into the northwest is kicking the ridge East. It’s not a bad pattern for a southeast snowstorm lol. But I agree, we will have chance in this pattern. Eventually something will work for us down here.
  19. Allsnow
    Next Wednesday is definitely a good pattern for a southeast snowstorm. That would be fitting lol. Euro is very close for the southeast
  20. Allsnow
    Euro is more amped and north this run. Very little snow for the metro area and 1-3 north and west
  21. Allsnow
    Need to stop the amped trend or this will turn quickly into festive flakes then rain
  22. Allsnow
    The roundy plots have this going into p8 to start February then dying and convection starting in p2 (standing wave). As you posted p2 is a cold look for February. The rmm plots I think are picking up on the kelvin wave in p6. Which is why they are curling back earlier
  23. Allsnow
    I did. It’s posted above. My thoughts haven’t changed. 2-4 for I-95
  24. Allsnow
    This map is awful to use as it includes sleet. Not the event for a map like this
  25. Allsnow
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