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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Eps ticked snowier also. Mean close to 3 for nyc
  2. Allsnow
    18z euro ticked colder. 3-4 from the city west.
  3. Allsnow
    It’s okay Anthony. I’ll survive
  4. Allsnow
    Then a 95 blizzard on the 30th...obviously this will change but shows the potential
  5. Allsnow
    Happy Hour Gfs says congrats dca and ACY next weekend during the torch
  6. Allsnow
    18z Gfs
  7. Allsnow
    Yep. Historic cold in December 2017 to record snows in March 2018. On the flip side, record warmth in February 2018/2019 and now record warmth in January 2020. I would be fool to not say that the earth has warmed. But imo the extremes are most noticeable.
  8. Allsnow
    Yes. I made a comment in the discussion thread that the pond skating in 1907 had to be horrible.
  9. Allsnow
    100% agree. Perhaps in 50 years our winters will be more like North Carolina. imo are extremes have gotten more extreme as their seems to me no middle of the road anymore.
  10. Allsnow
    My comment was tongue in cheek. But some have posted as if this first half of January is the new normal and winters of yore are over. When you look at the stats most of those warm starts to January were in the early 1900s
  11. Allsnow
    I guess no pond skating back in 1932? Snoski and weatherpruf would have been jumping off their horses. just reading this thread you would think the warmest first half of This month has happen in the last decade.
  12. Allsnow
    Nice post! Yeah, you’re 100% correct about the +AAM. We just need that to relax a bit to pull the ridge back west. Great stuff @bluewave. I don’t have access to the AAM charts.
  13. Allsnow
    Ditto to @binbisso post. The flatter look out west allows for a colder tick. We also do better with the waa precipitation
  14. Allsnow
    Euro a bit weaker this run with the primary. Allows for the area to hang onto snow a bit longer.
  15. Allsnow
    Yes, if we had a -nao it might lock the high in. But that doesn’t change the fact the low is going To track into the Great Lakes. Too much digging off the west coast to force this underneath us.
  16. Allsnow
    Me too Anthony!
  17. Allsnow
    -pna is the reason for the poor storm track
  18. Allsnow
    Haha. Very nino like run. -epo/stj/+pna/Aleutian low/ Pv north of Hudson Bay.
  19. Allsnow
    January 2007 like. Incredible
  20. Allsnow
    -epo returns on the GEFS
  21. Allsnow
    Nice look on the GEFS for the 25th.
  22. Allsnow
    Well those years are historic for a reason. We can’t see into February until next week, most likely why we don’t have any hints currently All I’m saying is the pattern going forward isn’t last weekend. We will have chances with cold air around. The nino esque look has me hopeful for a typical cold snowy February.
  23. Allsnow
    But now we have blocking in central Canada. We don’t need a -nao to snow in nyc. We had that for the first half of December and got squat. And yes we can get cutters in any winter. January 2014 had them even during our good periods. But with this look I would favor a costal track over a cutter to Detroit. You have been around long enough to know we don’t need a great pattern in January to snow.
  24. Allsnow
    A very Miller b esque look on the gfs for the 25th. I hope some can step away from the ledge with that for a few hours. I know I know, it’s not December 2017 type cold
  25. Allsnow
    We will have opportunities coming up the next few weeks. The reshuffling was on the ensembles for the 26th but the signal is bit stronger now. By just reading this thread you would think next week La Niña is coming and we will torch again. We still have ridging our west with a split flow along with a northwest flow from Canada. The cutters are gone after Saturday but most people won’t acknowledge that because it means little for their backyard. Agree with @bluewave, the +amm is probably hurting the -epo and the scandy ridging is fading. Which it return is allowing higher hgts in central Canada. It’s still not a bad look and trust me if it looked like trash I would acknowledge it.
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