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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    That’s the gfs
  2. Allsnow
  3. Allsnow
    @NEG NAO closer look at the system the euro has. If we get the northern stream to dive in then it can work. The southern energy alone won’t cut it with temps
  4. Allsnow
    That’s not the storm he is talking about. The storm for the 5th is a non event on the euro.
  5. Allsnow
    I remember March 14 was real cold/dry. We had MJO phases 5/6 (cold in March) and a lobe of the Pv sat over Maine. Lol
  6. Allsnow
    Some real nice looks on the ensemble guidance for December. Both the eps and GEFS have the ridge kissing the west coast going up into the pole
  7. Allsnow
    Absolutely. 13/14 was filled with jabs on a weak Pv we never had a SSW.
  8. Allsnow
    That system has no chance to be snow here. The 12z euro doesn’t even have a storm for the 5th now. We need to watch the energy diving into the trough between the 7-8th as that has potential with cold around
  9. Allsnow
    Yeah. Usually means a shot of artic air is coming into states. We don’t need a split to sustained winter. 13/14 was filled with jabs to the Pv
  10. Allsnow
    Looks like a bit of a reshuffle in between the 10th-12th. Something models have pick up on as the ridge retrogrades off the west coast.
  11. Allsnow
    This is the first period to watch. Virtual snow for bluewave
  12. Allsnow
    We are definitely going to get more of a Niña pattern for the second half of the month. With the eps look, I definitely could see that typical Niña snow gradient. We will have cold around with chances. I just hope we can keep the southeast ridge at bay, selfishly for my location. I would much rather be in Sne then nj for this lol.
  13. Allsnow
    Yeah, eps was more of a -epo pattern with overrunning/quick hitting stuff. The GEFS have the -epo along with -+pna which would provide a higher ceiling. Hopefully we get a compromise between the two.
  14. Allsnow
    I would watch the Sunday into Tuesday timeframe. Lots of energy diving into the trough with cold around.
  15. Allsnow
    The vortex is positioned nicely to get cold down here, unlike last year.
  16. Allsnow
  17. Allsnow
    @donsutherland1 where does November rank for the other major climate zones in the northeast? Orh,bos, and phl
  18. Allsnow
    January 2019? I believe we had a southern slider that dropped 6-12 in the mid Atlantic
  19. Allsnow
    That’s because the models were figuring out where the low pressures were. It was only cold underneath the cutoffs
  20. Allsnow
    Yeah. Winter has been out west the last two years. A Niña like pattern will do that. Their has not been much winter outside of Maine in the east. -pna/dateline ridge/ strong vortex is a recipe for cutters
  21. Allsnow
    Eps continues to look great after the 5th. We even get some poleward ridging with a hint of a -nao. So about that Niña December? Lol
  22. Allsnow
    That’s a overrunning pattern imo. A full blown Niña look would have a ridge in the Aleutians. We also have a hint of a -nao with a split flow. This is the Niña composite for December p5
  23. Allsnow
    We missed one storm last December because surface temps were between 33-34.
  24. Allsnow
    I would need a new shovel by now if we received all the virtual snow the models had the last two years. IMO that means nothing
  25. Allsnow
    Still not signs of a Niña pattern or southeast ridge on the ensembles
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