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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Looks good on radar. Probably stuck between radar beams. Looks healthy moving into the city
  2. Allsnow
    Probably around .2-.25 here from this band. Goes to show you what good ratios can do for you. Will definitely not be that way later today.
  3. Allsnow
    S+ 24
  4. Allsnow
    I like how precipitation is filling in Rapidly by state college
  5. Allsnow
    Light to mod snow. Nice to have instant stickage for a change.
  6. Allsnow
    Nam looked good for nnj. 3k nam was a sleet fest. Gfs still has 2-3 as we flip to mod snow between 6-8pm
  7. Allsnow
    Hopefully the same the dry air helps us stay snow as the main slug comes in later this afternoon
  8. Allsnow
    Yep. The wave in p5 (kelvin) is gaining strength and will be the main wave once the forcing weakens in wpac.
  9. Allsnow
    Enjoy the snow today as I don’t think we will see much sustained cold going forward. Looks like my idea of this getting into p8 is going to fail. We will be into p7 at the end of the month so perhaps we pull a storm off. After that we are going to head to p5/6 as the kelvin wave is getting stronger. Wash rinse repeat. The RMM plots might have been correct for the wrong reasons earlier this month but they have merit now. Just one of those winters that whatever can go wrong will go wrong. We can always pull off a storm but it will be hard with temps above normal. If we have any hope of sustained cold/snow in the second half of February we need to see the Pv weaken. Convection is always hard to predict in the future. Those looking for above normal days are about to get more. The uber Pv, -PDO, +AAM, and warm pool south of Ak were all huge players in this failed winter.
  10. Allsnow
    Kpsv 1.2
  11. Allsnow
  12. Allsnow
    Final call KNYC 2 KEWR 3 KLGA 1.5 KJFK .9 KBDR 4
  13. Allsnow
  14. Allsnow
    Ord 2.5 at 9pm
  15. Allsnow
    How much in Naperville?
  16. Allsnow
    Yep. What I wanted to see
  17. Allsnow
    Yeah, I think nyc and immediate burbs have to 7-8pm before the change. Euro cut back on qpf this run which ticked accumulations down. I would like to see the nam loose that warm layer tonight at 00z.
  18. Allsnow
    Hdrp
  19. Allsnow
    18z euro
  20. Allsnow
  21. Allsnow
    The nam has not shown the higher amounts like the Globals. The other short range guidance has bought into the global ideas but not the nams. I will be interested to see if they cave tonight or continue to forecast that warm layer.
  22. Allsnow
  23. Allsnow
  24. Allsnow
    They do. It’s been extended south
  25. Allsnow
    We just can’t shake the lower hgts in Ak. What once looked like a sustainable cold stretch next week has morphed into a few cold days. Coldest part of winter(especially further north then me) we don’t need a ice box but we are above normal after Thursday. Eps hinting at a swfe last week of January as snow mean creeps up.
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