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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
  2. Allsnow
    I’m talking about the wave 1 hit on the strat. It’s throwing a punch at the SPV and getting it off the pole. This will open the artic flood gates at a piece of the TPV goes into Hudson Bay
  3. Allsnow
  4. Allsnow
  5. Allsnow
    All the ensembles now bring a piece of the TPV into Canada. This is a result of the strat hit. Looks cold mid month with no Niña pattern in sight. Look at -epo on all three of Them
  6. Allsnow
  7. Allsnow
    What a look!
  8. Allsnow
    Eps 990 south of LI. Idv have some big hits for northeast PA up into UNY
  9. Allsnow
    Watch this costal take a perfect snow track and be rain for the coast. The airmass just blows
  10. Allsnow
    Wow.
  11. Allsnow
  12. Allsnow
    It’s a shame we can’t get the first shortwave to trend weaker because the energy diving in early next week is potent. It just gets buried now in the base of the trough. Sunday has potential in the far interior to produce snow
  13. Allsnow
    It’s finally here!
  14. Allsnow
    Nice snowstorm d12 on the gfs op. Fantasy range and will probably change but shows the potential with the pattern
  15. Allsnow
    Important tweet for the second half of December. The mjo wave in the Niña phases can’t gain strength because of the standing wave in IO
  16. Allsnow
    With those conflicting signals a wave 1 displacement of the SPV off the pole IMO will lead to a artic outbreak towards mid month. This is something that happen in 13/14 as punches were thrown at the vortex. I’m not calling for a 13/14 winter just that I expect colder air to come. This is supported by the eps and GEFS.
  17. Allsnow
    So are day 10 operational models. They are always changing. So much for those Niña southeast ridge calls to start December Gef and eps continue to weaken the SPV by mid month.
  18. Allsnow
    With The wave 1 strat hit expect growing confidence of a artic outbreak towards mid month.
  19. Allsnow
    GEFS like the eps is pushing the TPV towards Hudson Bay
  20. Allsnow
    Those are operational runs at day 10. They will always be changing. Use the ensembles that far out.
  21. Allsnow
    December pattern on the cansips now. That’s a quick change
  22. Allsnow
    Pretty nice euro run overnight that offers snow chances. The pattern also looks great after the pna ridge rolls forward and we get more of a -epo/-nao pattern
  23. Allsnow
    We keep kicking the can in the Niña pattern. Let’s hope it stays in week 4-5 fantasyland
  24. Allsnow
    It’s silly to look at that extended model with any type of seriousness
  25. Allsnow
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