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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    If proving your point means the next two weeks look meh for snow and canonical nino is warm north/cold south, then sure. Obviously, those last two posts from you were trying to twist my words. Let’s not forget about the uber blocking in 09-10 in a otherwise warmer then normal winter. December 09 and January 10 were above Avg with little snow outside December 20 09.
  2. Allsnow
  3. Allsnow
    For the next two weeks it fits the h5 pattern well. A moderating northern tier with a active progressive stj. Just because it doesn’t show what you want doesn’t make it wrong. Yes, in that moderate 09-10 nino it was bitterly cold up north.
  4. Allsnow
    Yep, about on par for a normal high in areas north of nyc.
  5. Allsnow
    Yep. @bluewave made a terrific post about the +AAM and ridge by Hawaii. This played a big part in the colder pattern going poof. As you have said recently you can’t have biases in weather. If the pattern looked cold and snowy we both would be posting about it.
  6. Allsnow
    No matter the strength of nino the result is warmer northern tier with cooler south. With the vortex in AK it’s even worst. Just loop the 18z gfs it illustrates the up coming pattern very well.
  7. Allsnow
    I was referring to his statement about how Arctic air in January keeps storms to are south. The system stays to our south on the 12z euro and the big city’s along 95 get nothing but rain.
  8. Allsnow
    I’m not trying to rain on anyone’s parade. It’s a weather forum and you can track whatever you want. Imo the pattern looks unfavorable for significant snow in nyc for the next 2-3 weeks.
  9. Allsnow
    That’s simply incorrect. Having arctic air yesterday was the only reason you snowed.
  10. Allsnow
    Yes. Because we had very cold air in Canada. I don’t see that In the next two weeks of January. The vortex and ridge in Hudson Bay will moderate Canada quickly.
  11. Allsnow
    That’s Celsius Anthony
  12. Allsnow
    Disagree. I remember posting about a over running threat last Saturday when it was in the 70’s. I even posted how the news will have that classic split screen weather segment. The cold artic high pressure was the only reason we snowed in yesterday’s set up.
  13. Allsnow
    Okay. This was the exact tweet. I agree for North Carolina it’s not a torch. It will be too stormy down there with a active STJ which will keep temps around normal. Imo that tweet has nothing to do with areas outside the southern US.
  14. Allsnow
    It would be a torch if we didn’t have a split flow. That ridge from Hawaii would be in the plains instead of the west coast. It’s not a torch but above normal for the majority of the conus. I expect very little for the coastal plain the next two weeks. The interior and nne is a totally different story.
  15. Allsnow
    We have a very marginal airmass with no artic air around. The eps mean has less then a one inch for our area. Those numbers increase out by northern Pa and upstate ny. So in short, I would be shocked to see next weekend workout for the costal plain.
  16. Allsnow
    I didn’t say it was a torch but very much above normal. That’s a 7 day mean and after Thursday we don’t have another below normal day. (If correct) I don’t know what exactly Webb said so I’m not going to question it. The flow looks very progressive with above normal temps the next two weeks.
  17. Allsnow
    This is simply incorrect. It hasn’t been any worst then the other guidance. The GEFS have been too cold in the long range.
  18. Allsnow
    I don’t know what he is saying but that is a ugly look on the eps. Vortex in ak with a +nao. The only thing that makes it cooler by him is the split flow. If that’s what he is saying.
  19. Allsnow
    Yep. I’m pretty sure we gain a phase of the mjo that is cold in March. I believe it is p3. Another year with a favorable mjo pass that will result in a unfavorable response. We could see some hits on the Pv starting in mid February that will line up with your timing well.
  20. Allsnow
  21. Allsnow
    I would expect them to kick the can on any favorable pattern until mid February
  22. Allsnow
    Another rathe ugly eps run. As the vortex sits in ak with a ridge near Hudson Bay. Canada is really flooded with above normal pac air. The ridge from Hawaii is into the west coast. This look is locked on the eps all the way into the first week of February.
  23. Allsnow
    Actual. Knyc 2.1 Kewr 1.8 Klga 1.9 kjfk 1.6 Kbdr 2.5 Not a bad forecast for this storm. I was too high at ewr (lull hurt) and too low for Long Island (no lull) I wish they could all go this well lol
  24. Allsnow
    Yep. The past two years I have been glued to CC on RadarScope tracking the mix line. I’m longing for a all snow event lol. Nice event either way in a crud winter. Good tracking with you guys. Time to go shovel the ice crud off my driveway. Enjoy the snow to those that are still getting it.
  25. Allsnow
    Unfortunately don’t think we will get saved like last March lol. The sleet line blew through here and currently getting beat back south of ewr. Nice winter night either way.
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