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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    That’s the gfs
  2. Allsnow
  3. Allsnow
    @NEG NAO closer look at the system the euro has. If we get the northern stream to dive in then it can work. The southern energy alone won’t cut it with temps
  4. Allsnow
    That’s not the storm he is talking about. The storm for the 5th is a non event on the euro.
  5. Allsnow
    Some real nice looks on the ensemble guidance for December. Both the eps and GEFS have the ridge kissing the west coast going up into the pole
  6. Allsnow
    That system has no chance to be snow here. The 12z euro doesn’t even have a storm for the 5th now. We need to watch the energy diving into the trough between the 7-8th as that has potential with cold around
  7. Allsnow
    This is the first period to watch. Virtual snow for bluewave
  8. Allsnow
    I would watch the Sunday into Tuesday timeframe. Lots of energy diving into the trough with cold around.
  9. Allsnow
    That’s because the models were figuring out where the low pressures were. It was only cold underneath the cutoffs
  10. Allsnow
    Yeah. Winter has been out west the last two years. A Niña like pattern will do that. Their has not been much winter outside of Maine in the east. -pna/dateline ridge/ strong vortex is a recipe for cutters
  11. Allsnow
    Eps continues to look great after the 5th. We even get some poleward ridging with a hint of a -nao. So about that Niña December? Lol
  12. Allsnow
    That’s a overrunning pattern imo. A full blown Niña look would have a ridge in the Aleutians. We also have a hint of a -nao with a split flow. This is the Niña composite for December p5
  13. Allsnow
    We missed one storm last December because surface temps were between 33-34.
  14. Allsnow
    I would need a new shovel by now if we received all the virtual snow the models had the last two years. IMO that means nothing
  15. Allsnow
    Still not signs of a Niña pattern or southeast ridge on the ensembles
  16. Allsnow
    So you’re saying no snowfall for the entire month of December?
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  20. Allsnow
    Nice post. Overall I’m more positive for this winter then I was a month ago. I don’t think 95/96 is walking into the door but 11/12 isn’t either
  21. Allsnow
    The Niña will not make it to strong status and it looks like we are near peak
  22. Allsnow
    Yep. Niña look comes back week 4. Week 3 looks great with pna and -nao.
  23. Allsnow
    This is what I mean with the ridge moving west and establishing a cross Polar flow/-epo. All the ensembles don’t roll the ridge over which would pump the southeast ridge.
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