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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Ugly look to start February If that’s true. CFS has the same theme then drops the hammer for cold end of February lol
  2. What do you think this means for February if things continue to shift west?
  3. Don’t buy into the Niña look? Eps once again pumping the epo ridge this run
  4. I’m not that interested in the wave along the front idea. The cmc and euro had it today but looks warm. Our best shot will be after that between the 18-20th. I have no idea if that will work. But we have a better shot then getting nothing
  5. Agree. The ssw could help us in the epo domain. Geps and GEFS continue to bump higher hgts in the epo domain from the dateline ridge
  6. That’s if the pna locks in that long. We really haven’t had anything out there lock in the long this winter. I didn’t think the eps looked horrible last night. It was cold but just had a lack of precipitation. It will be interesting if that looks does come because in January the wavelengths are longer then February
  7. If we can keep the strong block in place that’s a possibility
  8. I agree that we will see a dateline ridge but I would like to keep higher hgts in the epo domain and stronger block. This will allow for us to have the potential for overrunning events as storms cut west 18z gefs went to the eps with dateline ridge. They do keep the poleward epo and -nao like the eps
  9. Here is what I mean with a better epo domain and stronger nao
  10. Agree. But the epo region improved along with - stronger block. That will make a difference if a dateline ridge dose develop in regards to snow/cold
  11. Should have been more specific it has a better poleward epo ridge this run when compared to last night. Did you even look?
  12. Second wind reversal with a weaker vortex the rest of the winter now being forecast
  13. I thought the eps improved in the nao and ao domain today. Hopefully the trend continues
  14. If we need a -epo to snow around here then we will avg 6-10 inches per winter. Give me a stout pna ridge over a epo
  15. We don’t need the epo if we get a nice poleward pac ridge. That pna spike before the 15th was enough to get nyc 10 inches of snow.
  16. This is what we want to see to be on the snowy side of the gradient Neutral to -pna -epo -nao -ao
  17. You don’t have a -epo on that map so it won’t be as cold. That’s a cutter / overrunning map with artic highs in Canada. The nao might help suppress the southeast ridge
  18. Yeah 17/18 cold was all -epo/pna driven. Probably the last time those two have been that good
  19. Yep, the pac might kill any favorable set up. We finally get a -ao and -nao in January just to potentially waste it lol
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