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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Very low. Great stat as always @bluewave. I read a tweet on when the Ao is this high our biggest snowfall comes in March. This doesn’t mean I’m calling for a big event but 2.6 is a low bar.
  2. Allsnow
    Looks like the mjo wil go weakly into 8-1-2-3 on the new roundy maps. This will be bias cold and lines up well with the ensembles. I would think the best chance at snow will be towards the first weekend of March.
  3. Allsnow
    Eps mean would make eastern North Carolina snow fans happy lol
  4. Allsnow
    I feel like JB hasn’t been correct since 2015. He should probably stop with the outrageous analogs.
  5. Allsnow
    Eps snow mean still very meh through the 2nd. Looks way below Avg in that timeframe but dry as of now.
  6. Allsnow
    Yikes
  7. Allsnow
    Next weeks cold shot gettting colder on the eps. I would think this might be a problem for early budding trees in the southeast
  8. Allsnow
    Yep. Plus as @uncle W detailed we don’t need all the stars to align for snow in March. In March 2019 that snowy weekend was all -epo driven. Initial it looks like we are to deep into the trough but when it relaxes we might get something.
  9. Allsnow
    Yep. Definitely TBD on the snow. But I’m confident on the cold shot it has mjo support.
  10. Allsnow
    Eps drops the hammer with the cold at the end of February into first week of March
  11. Allsnow
    What a stretch on Long Island from 2010 to 2018. Crazy.
  12. Allsnow
    Haha. True. Really incredible gradient in our county for that storm. New Brunswick 10 Metuchen 6 Woodbridge 3. At one point we had light rain here as the CCB pounded to our west. We did have thunder snow and 2-3 inch rates when the event started.
  13. Allsnow
    Great post. Even last February we had a decent mjo pass in 8-1-2 but we still got a Niña response. I agree, the first week of March is probably are best shot (not saying much) at something. But unfortunately this doesn’t look like a pattern breaker. Convection is once again going to form in 5/6 and we go back to the same look.
  14. Allsnow
    Looks like the wave will die in 7 then a kelvin wave forms in 8. By the 11th the roundy plots have a wave forming in 5/6.
  15. Allsnow
    Yeah. That snow was decently powdery for a late March event. I think by the end of the following day of the storm I had more snow left from March 7th lol
  16. Allsnow
    @bluewave what’s your thoughts on the TPV eventually blowing its top? I would think eventually it has to break down. Perhaps cold April?
  17. Allsnow
    March will probably be more of the same IMO. Warm/wet. We might have a window for something during the first week of the month. Just don’t think that pattern lasts long.
  18. Allsnow
    You can see on the roundy plots a wave dies in 7 then a kelvin wave takes over in p8. But by the 11th you have a wave in p5/6 which it has been all winter
  19. Allsnow
    We would have the mjo briefly in the cold phases and the -epo ridge further East. I don’t think it’s lasts long but perhaps we pull a March 2019 like weekend.
  20. Allsnow
    Eps getting colder for the next shot of arctic air
  21. Allsnow
    What did you measure for the first event in March? We got screwed here by substance with the CCB to my west. We got to 6 in Metuchen but crawled our way there. The following system more then made up for it
  22. Allsnow
    19. Coldest it has been here since December
  23. Allsnow
    For down here it has been a absolute horror show. This will probably go down as one of the worst of my lifetime. Even in 11-12/01-02 we had one decent event. This winter we have just watched peak winter climo weeks tick away like it was late March.
  24. Allsnow
    Yeah it’s pretty bad for Boston. And even worst down here. I believe 80% of the country has more snow then kphl. @weathafella where would you rank this ratter in your opinion?
  25. Allsnow
    Euro has a cold shot next week then we warm up again. Snow mean is like .3 lol. You can forget about snow for the rest of the month.
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