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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    That’s if the pna locks in that long. We really haven’t had anything out there lock in the long this winter. I didn’t think the eps looked horrible last night. It was cold but just had a lack of precipitation. It will be interesting if that looks does come because in January the wavelengths are longer then February
  2. Allsnow
    If we can keep the strong block in place that’s a possibility
  3. Allsnow
    I agree that we will see a dateline ridge but I would like to keep higher hgts in the epo domain and stronger block. This will allow for us to have the potential for overrunning events as storms cut west 18z gefs went to the eps with dateline ridge. They do keep the poleward epo and -nao like the eps
  4. Allsnow
    Here is what I mean with a better epo domain and stronger nao
  5. Allsnow
    Agree. But the epo region improved along with - stronger block. That will make a difference if a dateline ridge dose develop in regards to snow/cold
  6. Allsnow
    Should have been more specific it has a better poleward epo ridge this run when compared to last night. Did you even look?
  7. Allsnow
    Euro has it also
  8. Allsnow
    Second wind reversal with a weaker vortex the rest of the winter now being forecast
  9. Allsnow
    I thought the eps improved in the nao and ao domain today. Hopefully the trend continues
  10. Allsnow
    95-96 had a way better mjo then we have now
  11. Allsnow
    If we need a -epo to snow around here then we will avg 6-10 inches per winter. Give me a stout pna ridge over a epo
  12. Allsnow
    We don’t need the epo if we get a nice poleward pac ridge. That pna spike before the 15th was enough to get nyc 10 inches of snow.
  13. Allsnow
    This is what we want to see to be on the snowy side of the gradient Neutral to -pna -epo -nao -ao
  14. Allsnow
    You don’t have a -epo on that map so it won’t be as cold. That’s a cutter / overrunning map with artic highs in Canada. The nao might help suppress the southeast ridge
  15. Allsnow
    Yeah 17/18 cold was all -epo/pna driven. Probably the last time those two have been that good
  16. Allsnow
    Yep, the pac might kill any favorable set up. We finally get a -ao and -nao in January just to potentially waste it lol
  17. Allsnow
    We had a nice stretch from December 2017 into January 2018
  18. Allsnow
    That’s where I’m at currently. We will begin to see the fruits of a more favorable pattern after the 15th. I would be absolutely shocked if we rat from here on out. It’s not like last winter where the vortex gained strength and ended winter. We have some decent teleconnections in our favor so far this winter. I believe the lack of cold on our side of the globe has hurt for at the very least a secs event.
  19. Allsnow
    We probably get mild for a bit next week (not that it’s been that cold) as the pac pukes a bit with the reshuffle.
  20. Allsnow
    Agree.
  21. Allsnow
  22. Allsnow
  23. Allsnow
    Lol. Yep, I would want to see the models with 20-30 over nyc currently
  24. Allsnow
  25. Allsnow
    This sesonal models just default to enso now. It’s been kicking the can on that Niña look all winter.
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