Haha. No it’s not. You’re not showing the whole picture. Enso 1/2 and 3 have warmed. This is a west base nino with the coldest anomalies in the western enso. It’s still weakening. It bottomed out in early October
I’m not that interested in the wave along the front idea. The cmc and euro had it today but looks warm.
Our best shot will be after that between the 18-20th. I have no idea if that will work. But we have a better shot then getting nothing