Allsnow
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Everything posted by Allsnow
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Mjo looks to be heading into 7-8 by months end. The orl maps has it in those phases with strength. It probably what we will need to shake up the pacific. This isn’t like 11-12 or19-20 with a vortex in Ak. It’s the poor pacific and lower hgts in Ak that will keep things mild
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Eps pops a -epo for next week and the conus is flooded with artic air. We still warm up after that but this might limit the duration of the warm up
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We have the confluence from the departing cutter along with a good shot of cold air. Do I think this will trend north, yes, but I don’t think we need a miracle in the metro to snow next week. If we keep the sw energy weak it most definitely can happen.
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Perhaps we sneak a snow event in before the warm next weekend. EPS idv were snowy overnight for next Wednesday
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December 2021 Obs/Disco...Dreaming of a White-Weenie Xmas
Allsnow replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
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23F
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26 already
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Yeah this would be p7 December in Niña
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Yeah, I can see us getting into 7 but will have a hard time getting into p8. We need that pac to reshuffle because all we are getting now is a nw flow with cool air because of the lower hgts in ak
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Weeklies hinting at a -epo change around mid month. Perhaps with some jet retraction and strat help it might have some merit
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Light snow here currently
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Because normally the Niña stacks warm water in the mjo cold phases for March. P3-4-5
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Yeah, this shot of cold air will favor New England more as the angle is best for them. The eps did a good job sniffing out that cold shot around the 5th
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Nice! Trace at all airports with .1 at ewr. And we are on the board
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I don’t see much help from the mjo or strat anytime soon. Perhaps some jet retraction mid month? Eps continues to keep that torch look in the 11-15 day with it not moving up in time. With that said, it’s still a very meh pattern for snow/cold
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@bluewave or @donsutherland1 did the climate stations record snow this morning?
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High of only 39 yesterday at the park. That’s a impressive high for late November
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Coating on colder surfaces. First snowfall of the 21-22 season
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31 and light snow. Accumulation on the colder surfaces and car tops
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Knyc has 10.5 in the December storm last year
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Knyc had 10.5 inches in the 12/15/20 storm
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Outside the lakes it’s going to be a while for us unfortunately
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Going to be some huge snow departures in the upper Midwest to start December. The nao will help keep us cool but for them it’s been all pac flow
