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Everything posted by Allsnow
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That sure looks like a p6 response in Niña during December. We just won’t be able to sustain it
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Moderate snow in this band currently! Nice surprise, being that I wasn’t expecting anything today
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Weeklies every day now
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I think the way the mjo is progressing it has merit. Now can we shake that -pna?
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Agree. The eps continues to show the -epo/ridge bridge at the end of the 11-15 day. Unfortunately, the -pna is allowing all the cold to dump into the west. This is at the end of the 11-15 day so I’m sure things will change before then.
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December 2021 Obs/Disco...Dreaming of a White-Weenie Xmas
Allsnow replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
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Definitely changes in the epo coming around the 20th. It will take some time for it to cool down here, especially with the Uber -pna.
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Close the shades for two weeks at the very least if you’re looking for significant snow/cold. Some hints of change on the ensembles overnight with a -epo towards the 18th. This might be a response from the mjo getting into 7/8 around that timeframe
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December 2021 Obs/Disco...Dreaming of a White-Weenie Xmas
Allsnow replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Very ugly look. This look worst then just a brief mild pattern. Going to be hard to find winter weather outside the northwest for a while -
And we can get it to snow in a warm pattern in this area. Heck, February 18 was a torch and we still had 3-7 inches that month
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Weak and fast flow is the only way we have a chance to snow in the metro. This might be one of those situations where it works out for us
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The lower hgts are in Ak not south of the Aleutians
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Yup. We have had a p6 response the last two weeks. It’s not close to p5 in November. The only reason we are going away from that look is because the pna is tanking
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Yeah, but the p5 composite for Niña November isn’t the pattern we had. It was closer to a p6 response for December. Why do you think the west has been so warm and snowless the past few weeks? We have had a ridge in that area
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Yeah, but the last two weeks has been a western ridge with Nw flow in the east. Which is the exact composite of p6 December in Niña. You have have convection in both p5/6. Go look at p5 Niña composite for November? It’s not the pattern we have had. The only reason we are getting away from the p6 look is because of the pna going Uber negative
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Huh? The last two weeks have been that composite to a T. We have had a ridge out west with Lower hgts in Ak. This is why the west has been snowless and warm.
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Yeah, what a Micro climate that place is….
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With that being said, next weekend through the 20th looks very torchy.