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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Hitting the lake effect in Chicago this run
  2. We don’t need a perfect Atlantic/pac to snow. Yes, for a blizzard it’s what we need. We can certainly get 3-6/4-8 type events with a decent pac/+nao. I’m not sure why he thinks the stars need to align to get snow in nyc
  3. And since when do we need a perfect pac/Atlantic to snow in nyc? If that’s the case then we might need to drop the avg snowfall
  4. Yup. And that Pv if positioned in Greenland can act as a block. I’m all for changing it up even if that means loosing the -nao. What’s the worst that can happen? We currently have no chance with the -nao and -pna.
  5. Meanwhile in Seattle it’s 28 with a wind chill of 19
  6. Looks like my call for p8 (along with others here) will workout. I do agree, that the +pna won’t last long given the current state of things. We will just need to make the most of it during a short window
  7. Yup. The ridge out west might sharpen up as we get closer but that look in Ak will spill cold air south
  8. Stay the course! Im hopeful for January
  9. Nice changes with the eps this afternoon. Blocking moves into the Ap region while the low north of Japan moves into the Aleutians
  10. Yeah, I just don’t get why the definite statements. Take it two weeks at a time. agree, the vortex is not super strong like 19/20 where it was lights out. We will have chances in January
  11. Strat forecast can only be taken 2 weeks at a time. If we were to get a ssw it wouldn’t show up in the long range. I also question that tweet a bit, as the Pv will be taken a hit to start January
  12. Should be a fun game to watch today in Seattle
  13. Yeah, it’s convection (like thunderstorms in the summer) hard to really predict so far in the future. I think we go 7-(weakly) 8-1-2 It probably gets back in 3/4 to start February unfortunately
  14. Latest olr map gets it into 8 finally but weakly. Perhaps that’s why we are seeing the ensembles flip the pac in the 11-15 day now
  15. Yeah, looks like a strat hit that will send cold our way around the 1st. After that the pac looks to reshuffle around the 7th.
  16. @snowman19 no pattern lasts forever. It will flip just like every pattern the past few years that usually lasts 4-6 weeks
  17. The tpv ended up sitting over main and sent everything south
  18. I thought we had a shot at the record during the winter of 13/14 but march ended up cold/dry
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