We don’t need a perfect Atlantic/pac to snow. Yes, for a blizzard it’s what we need. We can certainly get 3-6/4-8 type events with a decent pac/+nao. I’m not sure why he thinks the stars need to align to get snow in nyc
Yup. And that Pv if positioned in Greenland can act as a block. I’m all for changing it up even if that means loosing the -nao. What’s the worst that can happen? We currently have no chance with the -nao and -pna.
Looks like my call for p8 (along with others here) will workout. I do agree, that the +pna won’t last long given the current state of things. We will just need to make the most of it during a short window
Yeah, I just don’t get why the definite statements. Take it two weeks at a time.
agree, the vortex is not super strong like 19/20 where it was lights out. We will have chances in January
Strat forecast can only be taken 2 weeks at a time. If we were to get a ssw it wouldn’t show up in the long range. I also question that tweet a bit, as the Pv will be taken a hit to start January
Yeah, it’s convection (like thunderstorms in the summer) hard to really predict so far in the future. I think we go 7-(weakly) 8-1-2
It probably gets back in 3/4 to start February unfortunately