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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Still not signs of a Niña pattern or southeast ridge on the ensembles
  2. Allsnow
    This is not a bad look at the eps. This snap shot Is after the ridge retrogrades west. It’s more of a overrunning threat with some high lat blocking. It’s definitely not the GEFS but not a Niña look yet.
  3. Allsnow
    The first two systems never had a chance for us. Hopefully we get a threat in 5th-10th timeframe with a better airmass
  4. Allsnow
    So you’re saying no snowfall for the entire month of December?
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  8. Allsnow
    Nice post. Overall I’m more positive for this winter then I was a month ago. I don’t think 95/96 is walking into the door but 11/12 isn’t either
  9. Allsnow
    The Niña will not make it to strong status and it looks like we are near peak
  10. Allsnow
    Yep. Niña look comes back week 4. Week 3 looks great with pna and -nao.
  11. Allsnow
    Lol. That’s good
  12. Allsnow
    Yeah, that’s at the very end of the run. I just would have liked to see some higher hgts in Ak. We lost the Aleutian low. But as @ORH_wxman said the pna is nice before the end of the run
  13. Allsnow
    Meh
  14. Allsnow
    This is what I mean with the ridge moving west and establishing a cross Polar flow/-epo. All the ensembles don’t roll the ridge over which would pump the southeast ridge.
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  17. Allsnow
    I think our best shot of snow will be as the pna ridge starts to retrograde west into Ak. This will allow colder air to enter the eastern US. With a active southern jet and colder air in Canada we will have our chances. I welcome this pattern change as it’s diff then anything we have seen in the last two years.
  18. Allsnow
    I think our best shot is when the pna ridge starts to move west. It will allow colder air into Canada and the southeast ridge will still be a bay, at least at first.
  19. Allsnow
    You’re definitely correct. It’s starting the fade the Aleutian low as hgts back into Ak. That could be good (see GEFS geps) or its a bit muted like the eps. Just need to see if it goes further west into the Aleutians which would be standard Niña. This might be a response from the mjo getting into p5/6
  20. Allsnow
    Could make the end of December and January colder if it continues into the colder phases.
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  22. Allsnow
    Drool worthy look to start December
  23. Allsnow
    The first one off the pna spike will definitely go west of us. After the 1 week of December I believe are chances of a snowstorm will be higher. The one around the 5/6th is our first chance.
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