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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Wow.
  2. Allsnow
  3. Allsnow
    It’s a shame we can’t get the first shortwave to trend weaker because the energy diving in early next week is potent. It just gets buried now in the base of the trough. Sunday has potential in the far interior to produce snow
  4. Allsnow
    It’s finally here!
  5. Allsnow
    Nice snowstorm d12 on the gfs op. Fantasy range and will probably change but shows the potential with the pattern
  6. Allsnow
    Important tweet for the second half of December. The mjo wave in the Niña phases can’t gain strength because of the standing wave in IO
  7. Allsnow
    With those conflicting signals a wave 1 displacement of the SPV off the pole IMO will lead to a artic outbreak towards mid month. This is something that happen in 13/14 as punches were thrown at the vortex. I’m not calling for a 13/14 winter just that I expect colder air to come. This is supported by the eps and GEFS.
  8. Allsnow
    So are day 10 operational models. They are always changing. So much for those Niña southeast ridge calls to start December Gef and eps continue to weaken the SPV by mid month.
  9. Allsnow
    With The wave 1 strat hit expect growing confidence of a artic outbreak towards mid month.
  10. Allsnow
    GEFS like the eps is pushing the TPV towards Hudson Bay
  11. Allsnow
    Those are operational runs at day 10. They will always be changing. Use the ensembles that far out.
  12. Allsnow
    December pattern on the cansips now. That’s a quick change
  13. Allsnow
    Pretty nice euro run overnight that offers snow chances. The pattern also looks great after the pna ridge rolls forward and we get more of a -epo/-nao pattern
  14. Allsnow
    We keep kicking the can in the Niña pattern. Let’s hope it stays in week 4-5 fantasyland
  15. Allsnow
    It’s silly to look at that extended model with any type of seriousness
  16. Allsnow
  17. Allsnow
    That’s the gfs
  18. Allsnow
  19. Allsnow
    @NEG NAO closer look at the system the euro has. If we get the northern stream to dive in then it can work. The southern energy alone won’t cut it with temps
  20. Allsnow
    That’s not the storm he is talking about. The storm for the 5th is a non event on the euro.
  21. Allsnow
    I remember March 14 was real cold/dry. We had MJO phases 5/6 (cold in March) and a lobe of the Pv sat over Maine. Lol
  22. Allsnow
    Some real nice looks on the ensemble guidance for December. Both the eps and GEFS have the ridge kissing the west coast going up into the pole
  23. Allsnow
    Absolutely. 13/14 was filled with jabs on a weak Pv we never had a SSW.
  24. Allsnow
    That system has no chance to be snow here. The 12z euro doesn’t even have a storm for the 5th now. We need to watch the energy diving into the trough between the 7-8th as that has potential with cold around
  25. Allsnow
    Yeah. Usually means a shot of artic air is coming into states. We don’t need a split to sustained winter. 13/14 was filled with jabs to the Pv
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