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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. We are not going to sustain a ridge out there for weeks on end. Need to make the most of our opportunities when we have it. A ridge kissing the west coast up into the artic works also. Which is what the ensembles have.
  2. Initially it will dump there as the ridge rolls forward and pac reshuffles. Show those maps pass that hour lol
  3. I’m talking about the wave 1 hit on the strat. It’s throwing a punch at the SPV and getting it off the pole. This will open the artic flood gates at a piece of the TPV goes into Hudson Bay
  4. All the ensembles now bring a piece of the TPV into Canada. This is a result of the strat hit. Looks cold mid month with no Niña pattern in sight. Look at -epo on all three of Them
  5. Eps 990 south of LI. Idv have some big hits for northeast PA up into UNY
  6. Watch this costal take a perfect snow track and be rain for the coast. The airmass just blows
  7. It’s a shame we can’t get the first shortwave to trend weaker because the energy diving in early next week is potent. It just gets buried now in the base of the trough. Sunday has potential in the far interior to produce snow
  8. Nice snowstorm d12 on the gfs op. Fantasy range and will probably change but shows the potential with the pattern
  9. Important tweet for the second half of December. The mjo wave in the Niña phases can’t gain strength because of the standing wave in IO
  10. With those conflicting signals a wave 1 displacement of the SPV off the pole IMO will lead to a artic outbreak towards mid month. This is something that happen in 13/14 as punches were thrown at the vortex. I’m not calling for a 13/14 winter just that I expect colder air to come. This is supported by the eps and GEFS.
  11. So are day 10 operational models. They are always changing. So much for those Niña southeast ridge calls to start December Gef and eps continue to weaken the SPV by mid month.
  12. With The wave 1 strat hit expect growing confidence of a artic outbreak towards mid month.
  13. Those are operational runs at day 10. They will always be changing. Use the ensembles that far out.
  14. December pattern on the cansips now. That’s a quick change
  15. Pretty nice euro run overnight that offers snow chances. The pattern also looks great after the pna ridge rolls forward and we get more of a -epo/-nao pattern
  16. We keep kicking the can in the Niña pattern. Let’s hope it stays in week 4-5 fantasyland
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