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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Young people speaking their minds
  2. Allsnow
  3. Allsnow
    Classic snow track but just to early in the season.
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  5. Allsnow
  6. Allsnow
    Snow mean pretty high on the eps. Most of the idv are hits for northeast Pa north into NNE/Upstate NY
  7. Allsnow
    Hopefully more storms like this as we get deeper into the winter
  8. Allsnow
    Keeping the vortex weak is important because it allows us a mechanism to get cold without the help of the mjo. If the mjo (which I expect this winter) remains in unfavorable phases it is very important the vortex stay weak. Last winter strong mjo and vortex was a death sentence. Im not referring to a SSW, just a weak enough vortex for strat hits.
  9. Allsnow
  10. Allsnow
    I hope all is well @DT_WXRISK. Great to hear from you.
  11. Allsnow
    Some really nice tweets from Simon Lee today about the vortex. The second half of December will be the key to how the rest of winter ends up. In 2019 we had some Weakening of the vortex (cold November and early December) then it went crazy at the end of the month. This was basically the nail in the coffin last winter. It’s very important not to see it gain strength at the end of December.
  12. Allsnow
    This is turning into a classic early winter Nor’easter. Perfect track for snow just not cold enough near the coast
  13. Allsnow
    The idv eps members had a good amount slamming western sne into NNE
  14. Allsnow
    The idv eps members had a good amount slamming western sne and upstate ny
  15. Allsnow
    Agree. It’s definitely not the January 2014 euro anymore. It’s still the model I would want on my side inside 72 hours. Over the pass few years it has become very erratic.
  16. Allsnow
    As the pac reshuffles we are probably going to warm next weekend. The eps went towards the gefs today with dumping energy into the west. It doesn’t break off a piece into the trough in the east. IMO the 11th into the 20th will be our best shot for snow. We will get a cold dump into the east because of the wave 1 hit on the strat. We will loose the Aleutian low so this will allow lower hgts into Canada.
  17. Allsnow
    Interesting battle going on in the 6-10 day. GEFS want to torch us and eps/geps reinforce the artic air
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  20. Allsnow
    Nice look with higher hgts nosing down into Greenland
  21. Allsnow
    It’s happens with the American guidance inside 100 hours with S/W energy. It becomes progressive and weak because it’s focusing on the next vort coming
  22. Allsnow
    Lots of model chaos going on with this storm. The American guidance is now showing its progressive bias.
  23. Allsnow
    GFS progressive bias on show now with getting the first system out of the way and trying to make the second one a thing. Don’t fall for it
  24. Allsnow
    That’s a legit cold shot coming with the wave 1 strat hit. We should have shots at snow between the 10th-20th. Looks like overrunning stuff and clippers
  25. Allsnow
    06z euro crushes NW Jersey and gets flakes down to LI This is a perfect track for snow all the way to the coast but the airmass is putrid. Look like we will crack the cutter/hugger tracks with this one @bluewave
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