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Everything posted by Allsnow
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Not if we get Niña climo February lol
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Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
Allsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Euro 980’s over the Bm. Sne gets whacked
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This just shows the importance of a good PNA ridge out west for snow opportunities
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Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
Allsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Yeah. You’re seeing the American guidance coming back towards a more zonked solution. The euro might have been all over the place but it was the first to show such a dynamic system. -
Great post. I think the northern shore of LI should watch also
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Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
Allsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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If it goes ballistic just east of sne, LI could get into some CCB action.
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@bluewave any input? Is this from the ridge off maine moving north?
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All we are blocking with this set up is pac puke. Basically killing the snow potential
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
The ensembles did a good job of predicting the ridge in west and trough in the east this weekend. It’s just small details that we won’t know until closer in. This weekend we have a nice 50/50 Feature that wasn’t their earlier. -
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
Allsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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One of the reasons this storm is trending snowier for interior areas is the 50/50 feature that was not expected earlier. Instead of a ridge east of main it’s north of that area. The only reason this isn’t snow for the entire area is because the pna ridge is to flat. This is just another example of having bad luck in a small window of opportunity
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Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
Allsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Young people speaking their minds -
Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
Allsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
Allsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Dec 5/6th major coastal/ west Atlantic cyclogenesis ...?
Allsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Snow mean pretty high on the eps. Most of the idv are hits for northeast Pa north into NNE/Upstate NY -
Hopefully more storms like this as we get deeper into the winter
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Keeping the vortex weak is important because it allows us a mechanism to get cold without the help of the mjo. If the mjo (which I expect this winter) remains in unfavorable phases it is very important the vortex stay weak. Last winter strong mjo and vortex was a death sentence. Im not referring to a SSW, just a weak enough vortex for strat hits. -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
I hope all is well @DT_WXRISK. Great to hear from you.