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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    I remember saying after the 10th things will get better. It’s up in the air on how long that lasts. As of now, it looks like Niña pattern will return towards the 20th.
  2. Allsnow
    Is that from the op run? The GEFS are +3. A lot of that is from the warm up next weekend as the pac reshuffles.
  3. Allsnow
    We will have a shot a something the week of the 13th. The pattern looks to get more hostile/Niña like by the 20th
  4. Allsnow
    Weeklies have the cold shot and snow potential December 13-20th. It then goes full on Niña with cold west/warm East. Around January 15th (la la la land) it has -nao, -epo, and cold moving east. Looks like a niño pattern in the middle of January
  5. Allsnow
    It comes down to when the phasing occurs. If it’s late you can certainly get this outcome. Looking at the idv members of the eps a good amount had nothing. The general theme was big hit or nothing. Really nothing in between
  6. Allsnow
    And the nam is way southeast....swing and a miss
  7. Allsnow
    I do agree, it’s a great point by you, any airmass other then we had prior to this system probably would have made things more interesting.
  8. Allsnow
    Yep, +pna was to west to East. We need to have had it more poleward. The rest of the ingredients are there, unfortunately.
  9. Allsnow
    And next weekend, 12-13th, we probably make a run at 60 degrees as the pac reshuffles
  10. Allsnow
    I’m not going to turn a blind eye to it! The end of the ensembles are look ugly. The vortex is moving into Ak and pac flow starts enveloping the country We still have a opportunity before that but as of now that’s where we Stand
  11. Allsnow
    Not if we get Niña climo February lol
  12. Allsnow
  13. Allsnow
    Euro 980’s over the Bm. Sne gets whacked
  14. Allsnow
    This just shows the importance of a good PNA ridge out west for snow opportunities
  15. Allsnow
  16. Allsnow
  17. Allsnow
    Yeah. You’re seeing the American guidance coming back towards a more zonked solution. The euro might have been all over the place but it was the first to show such a dynamic system.
  18. Allsnow
    Great post. I think the northern shore of LI should watch also
  19. Allsnow
  20. Allsnow
    If it goes ballistic just east of sne, LI could get into some CCB action.
  21. Allsnow
    @bluewave any input? Is this from the ridge off maine moving north?
  22. Allsnow
    All we are blocking with this set up is pac puke. Basically killing the snow potential
  23. Allsnow
    The ensembles did a good job of predicting the ridge in west and trough in the east this weekend. It’s just small details that we won’t know until closer in. This weekend we have a nice 50/50 Feature that wasn’t their earlier.
  24. Allsnow
  25. Allsnow
    One of the reasons this storm is trending snowier for interior areas is the 50/50 feature that was not expected earlier. Instead of a ridge east of main it’s north of that area. The only reason this isn’t snow for the entire area is because the pna ridge is to flat. This is just another example of having bad luck in a small window of opportunity
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