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Everything posted by Allsnow
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Very seldom will the entire state of NJ stay all snow in a major winter storm
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We don’t have a block for the Monday storm or a strong High to our north
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The confluence is only going to let this get so far north. Classic track for the metro for a historic winter storm on the gfs
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The confluence will make or break this event.
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Why have the Costal storms tracks return? Monday and Wednesday will now make it 4 for the month
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Continuing the trend of better pna and stronger confluence on the 18z Gfs. Should have a big hit again this run
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Great discussion today with you @bluewave -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah, now it seems the long range modeling is defaulting to the Niña pattern but in reality it is something different. We have been kicking the can on the Niña pattern now. Perhaps it comes in February idk -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
The blocking is a result of the wave 1 hit on the vortex. It’s displacing it off the pole. Hopefully we continue to keep it weak to maintain blocking -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Allsnow replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Eps went towards the gefs for the end of the month today. I think the gefs have a better handle on the mjo. We should be weekly into p7 by the end of the month