I believe the mjo briefly went into p8 which helped with the airmass for that system in the Mid Atlantic. After that system SE ridge took over and the winter ended. I believe we got some slop system In early March
You’re completely missing the point about how we continue to chase that carrot. @bluewaveis just pointing out how the pac continues to be to fast which taints those ideal looks on the 11-15 day means
Where do u see a trough in the east for 2-3 weeks?
with all due respect, you post these day 11-15 day ensemble means every winter that fail to tell the entire story. I want snow just as bad as anyone but this winter won’t be it for nyc
The mjo convection is in conflict as it’s in diff phases. You can see in the ext products that any trough in the east will be transient. Our only way out was this Decembers with the PNA but the pac never slowed down.