Next week still looks mild but the 70’s talk might be a stretch. The weekend is now looking to be the warmest on the models. The highest temperature next week at nyc is the upper 50’s
It’s going to take a major hit but will probably regain strength after that. It that wave 2 hit is true, it could help improve the pattern for cold/nao
-epo continues to move up in time on the ensembles. The Pv looks to take a hit around that time which might allow for a -nao. It will take time but after next week’s blowtorch I do see some positive signs
Agree. The eps continues to show the -epo/ridge bridge at the end of the 11-15 day. Unfortunately, the -pna is allowing all the cold to dump into the west. This is at the end of the 11-15 day so I’m sure things will change before then.
Close the shades for two weeks at the very least if you’re looking for significant snow/cold. Some hints of change on the ensembles overnight with a -epo towards the 18th. This might be a response from the mjo getting into 7/8 around that timeframe