We still don’t if the mjo will be enough to flip the pattern. It’s a very strong wave so their is reasonable hope for it. But unfortunately the mjo isn’t the only factor currently
Phase 7 effects won’t be felt until closer to Christmas. Any phase 8 impacts will be after xmass. The only wildcard is some strat hits on the Pv around the 20th that could help with a cold shot in that timeframe.
We need to start seeing changes (moving up in time) somewhere and this is a start….I’ll take a -epo and East based block and roll it forward from there…